11PM is out - small shift E but the models are seeing a weak spot in the ridge... so due west then hard right turn to the north.
Threat to Keys going down, threat to Northern FL and the GA/SC coast going up. S FL, central and Space Coast about the same, could be on your doorstep on Labor Day. Slow approach then stall before heading off. Wind field about the same = 30 miles from small, compact core center of Cat 4 level hurricane force winds, then 105 miles out of TS winds. Staying a bit offshore or north keeps the worse winds out to sea but slow motion means the coastal areas get pounded for nearly a full day. TS winds on the coast Monday AM so plan accordingly.
-------------------- South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, but actually had to put up the panels for: David ('79) - Floyd ('87) - Andrew ('92) - Georges ('98) - Frances ('04) - Wilma ('05) - Matthew ('16) - Irma ('17)
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