Thanks MikeC, every time I think I know what a storm might do, I seem to be wrong. Too much prep it misses, not enough it hits!
Definitely like the idea of this going out to sea, but happy I filled up my tanks today, and set myself up to batten down the hatches if need be.
I usually see "the cone" and roll my eye at about 50% of it. I'm not dismissing any of it this time. This storm hits an H5, even if it doesn't land at all and it'll be in the record books for probably one of the weirdest storms ever. I'm but one small voice but I've never seen this in like two decades of watching.
Once Harvy was just rainstorms, his flooding was epic and the track of those storms was bizarre as well so I don't want to minimize it but Dorian is like that little storm that IS right now.
It's still almost two days out but people who are in Florida need to understand that there is NOTHING to be gained by hmming and hawing and wondering if they should leave. Those deals usually ending up with people telling you to "hunker down" and "avoid weight bearing walls in your house just in case it collapses" and "don't forget that some people can drown in their attics if the storm surge is high enough".
The storm surge is going to be epic wherever this hits. I think I'd rather be sitting in a hotel in Alabama or something..not home but not going to risk death/risk putting the fact you foolishly stayed and are now a weight sitting on the emergency response team's minds because you didn't get out when you should have.
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