HWRF and HMON keep Dorian offshore of Florida now, although everything is extremely close to shore. With the motion I think the surge and erosion along the coast will be the biggest Florida impacts, although the wind probably will be stronger than Matthew was. Georgia/SC/NC will probably get the surge as well, and NC probably the most impact if it makes landfall there.
The image recordings link to the left has the miami, melbourne, and SFWMD Florida radars being recorded over long periods, so you can see the entire movement on radar of Dorian from them.
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