The The High to Dorian's east continues to have the greatest odds of imparting a general NW to N track for the next 12-40 hours. In fact, if Dorian continues to become less deep, even the lowest level westerlies could impart a more westerly component to his motion (doubtfully due west, but maybe a little west of Cone).
A more westward "slap in the face" for east central Florida near or just north of the Cape would not surprise me a bit given the dynamics involved. Dorian unwinding this morning due to sitting in place over the northern Bahamas greatly elevated my spirits about potential damage where I live, and the forecast track 75 or more miles offshore is great, but the expanding eye and wind field along with the most intense mid-day bands congregating on the north (forward) then NW of Dorian's eye could still produce sustained winds of 60 mph, gusting to near hurricane force tonight and tomorrow morning as the hurricane approaches my latitude. I finally "relaxed' today for the first time in many days, but everything I did to prepare for Dorian will remain in effect until Dorian departs my latitude late Wednesday.
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