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Models are starting to notice trof in the Gulf. Could become yet another TD-like system this weekend, even if not named. #txwx
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 333 (Nicholas) , Major: 349 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1403 (Michael) Major: 1403 (Michael)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2019 Forecast Lounge

IsoFlame
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Reged: Wed
Posts: 198
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Olga Lounge
      Wed Oct 23 2019 05:56 AM

Something to watch for in the climatologically favored region for tropical cyclogenesis in late October...A large area of very disorganized showers and thunderstorms stretching from Belize, across the Yucatan into the far SW GOMEX has a low chance of development late in the week off the east coast of Mexico. Thereafter, the disturbance is likely to be absorbed by a cold front forecast to sweep across the GOMEX over the weekend.

GFS struggles with the idea of a closed low (however weak and elongated) lingering in the Bay of Campeche after the passage of the cold front.

This disturbance has been Invest tagged, 97L, and the title has been updated accordingly.
TD SEVENTEEN on 10/25/19 10AM CDT. TS Olga 10/25/19 4PM CDT Advsiory - Ciel

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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

Edited by cieldumort (Fri Oct 25 2019 04:41 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Olga Lounge IsoFlame Wed Oct 23 2019 05:56 AM
. * * Re: TD 17 Lounge cieldumortModerator   Fri Oct 25 2019 12:02 PM
. * * Re: Disorganized Yucan wave Keith B   Thu Oct 24 2019 10:17 AM
. * * Re: Disorganized Yucan wave IsoFlame   Thu Oct 24 2019 02:14 PM
. * * Re: Disorganized Yucan wave cieldumortModerator   Thu Oct 24 2019 04:20 PM

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