Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Plenty of Fish in the Sea for Peter and Rose to date. Elsewhere, the remnants of Odette has a 30% redevelopment chance. 98L 70%.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 7 (Nicholas) , Major: 23 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1077 (Michael) Major: 1077 (Michael)
20.5N 65.0W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1009mb
Moving:
Wnw at 8 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
22.5N 37.7W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1008mb
Moving:
Nw at 10 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
Invest 98LClick for Invest Information from CIMSS
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 


Archives 2010s >> 2020 Forecast Lounge

MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 4426
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge
      Fri Aug 21 2020 05:30 AM

0z model summary:

0zGFS 13 Goes through the NE Islands, clips by Puerto Rico on the Northeast side tomorrow around noon, critical time is Saturday evening, weak over Key West midday Monday, then weak into Panama City Tuesday afternoon/evening. (TD#14 moves into Western Louisiana weak, but stronger than TD13)

0z Canadian keeps it north of the Caribbean islands, starts to strengthen northwest of Puerto Rico, Cat 1 landfall near the middle Keys Midday Monday, cat 2 landfall near Panama City, FL on Wednesday morning. While it does nothing with TD14, and it falls apart.

0z Icon, lots of land interaction, keeping it weak all the way into the Gulf. TD14 remains weak into Louisiana also, falling apart as it approaches.

0z HWRF keeps the northern part of TD13 the most active, firing it up northwest of Puerto Rico tomorrow night. Landfall Key West Midday Monday as a cat 3 or 4, then ends the run as a cat 4 on approach to Mobile, AL.

0z HMON keeps it disorganized and moves over the greater Antilles, eventually goes into Southeast Louisiana as a weak wave.

0z UKMET rides along the Antilles and Cuba, keeping it generally weak.

0z Euro is a little stronger than prior runs, but not by much, still opens it up into the Gulf with an eventual wave into Mobile,AL Tuesday night. TD14 goes into Texas near freeport Tuesday afternoon/evening, as a weaker system/TS.

For 13 there seems to be more open possibilities, so it'll unfortunately mean we probably won't know too much until Saturday night or even Sunday. The Gulf of Mexico and Bahamas area range from generally favorable to very good for development. In the shorter term a lot rides on where the center settles and if it is over the land in the islands or comfortably north of them. In the Gulf depends on if TD13 gets too close to 14. But yeah, it's pretty wide, the possibilities range from the system degenerating to an open wave as seen in the GFS and ECMWF to a major hurricane as seen in the HWRF.


Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Laura Lounge cieldumortModerator Fri Aug 21 2020 05:30 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Laura Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Aug 25 2020 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Laura Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Aug 26 2020 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Laura Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Aug 26 2020 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Laura Lounge Psyber   Wed Aug 26 2020 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Aug 25 2020 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Aug 25 2020 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Aug 25 2020 04:31 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Aug 25 2020 10:16 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge JMII   Tue Aug 25 2020 09:18 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge cieldumortModerator   Mon Aug 24 2020 07:37 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 24 2020 10:25 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Aug 24 2020 01:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 24 2020 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Aug 22 2020 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Aug 22 2020 02:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge scottsvb   Sat Aug 22 2020 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge Owlguin   Sat Aug 22 2020 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Aug 22 2020 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge JMII   Sat Aug 22 2020 08:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Aug 22 2020 09:28 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Aug 22 2020 10:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge IsoFlame   Sun Aug 23 2020 07:25 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge JMII   Sun Aug 23 2020 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge IsoFlame   Sun Aug 23 2020 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge Prospero   Sun Aug 23 2020 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge JMII   Sun Aug 23 2020 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge Keith B   Sun Aug 23 2020 01:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 21 2020 06:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge MichaelA   Sat Aug 22 2020 08:03 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Sat Aug 22 2020 10:23 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge scottsvb   Sat Aug 22 2020 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Sat Aug 22 2020 11:33 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge JMII   Sat Aug 22 2020 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge scottsvb   Sat Aug 22 2020 11:59 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 22 2020 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge scottsvb   Sat Aug 22 2020 12:24 PM
. * * Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge cieldumortModerator   Fri Aug 21 2020 08:31 AM
. * * Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge doug   Fri Aug 21 2020 09:04 AM
. * * Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Fri Aug 21 2020 10:43 AM
. * * Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge scottsvb   Fri Aug 21 2020 12:29 PM
. * * Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge scottsvb   Fri Aug 21 2020 12:29 PM
. * * Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge EMS   Fri Aug 21 2020 12:57 PM
. * * Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge scottsvb   Fri Aug 21 2020 01:11 PM
. * * Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge scottsvb   Fri Aug 21 2020 02:23 PM
. * * Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge doug   Fri Aug 21 2020 02:44 PM
. * * Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge JMII   Fri Aug 21 2020 05:23 PM
. * * Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge JMII   Fri Aug 21 2020 08:43 AM
. * * Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge cieldumortModerator   Fri Aug 21 2020 07:44 AM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Aug 19 2020 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge Prospero   Wed Aug 19 2020 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge NewWatcher   Wed Aug 19 2020 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 19 2020 10:34 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 20 2020 12:37 AM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 20 2020 06:59 AM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 20 2020 07:44 AM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 21 2020 05:30 AM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Aug 19 2020 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge Prospero   Wed Aug 19 2020 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 18 2020 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 18 2020 10:10 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 19 2020 07:54 AM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge doug   Wed Aug 19 2020 10:06 AM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge JMII   Thu Aug 20 2020 09:07 AM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 20 2020 12:23 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge scottsvb   Thu Aug 20 2020 06:02 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Thu Aug 20 2020 08:53 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 20 2020 10:02 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Thu Aug 20 2020 10:40 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 19 2020 12:15 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge craigm   Tue Aug 18 2020 04:48 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 3 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  CFHC, MikeC, Ed Dunham, Colleen A., Atricks, danielw, Clark, Christine H, RedingtonBeachGuy, SkeetoBite, Bloodstar, tpratch, typhoon_tip, cieldumort, Jackie M, Wigeon, Hank Buck 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 34108

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center