IDK what they are seeing at the NHC but Laura is NOT at 17.8N and 66.8W 20 miles SW of Ponce... it's clearly at 18.7N and 65.5W or about 50 miles NW of San Juan heading WNW... you can clearly see on radar the low level bands and flow on the north side of PR moving slightly from the west while just NE of there moving from the SE and just west of the LLC moving NE. Also surface obs have SW winds west of San Juan but light..IDS what they are seeing near ponce and we all see the midlevel low further south. Models show nothing on the midlevel coming to the surface but it might once it crashes into Hispaniola tonight.. it might then get to the surface and ride thru Cuba or the LLC of Laura (if she is where I think the HWRF thinks will stay near or just north of Cuba.. but 90% of the energy is with the MLC. Hard to win and get pressure drops when your energy is 150 Miles SE of you.
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