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Trop Storm Watch/Warns pos. for Windwards and NE coast of Venezuela by tonight with 94L. Also tracking wave behind 94L and NW Gulf.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 286 (Nicholas) , Major: 301 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1355 (Michael) Major: 1355 (Michael)

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Archives 2020s >> 2020 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 2128
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge
Sat Aug 22 2020 01:23 PM

Tropical Storm Laura base map from Wunderground.com (IBM)

At 1200 PM AST Sat Aug 22 2020 NHC has Laura's center located at 17.8N 67.2W or about 40 miles to the WSW of Ponce, PR (denoted by the red "L" on the map above). However, the most recent surface and ship obs strongly suggest that the surface center is becoming much better aligned with the very healthy mid-level center. This mid-level circulation center has become obvious on radar. Based on surface obs I've drawn in a possible new surface center location "Unofficial LLC."

It is increasingly possible that Laura has reformed just south enough to bypass at least some direct island interaction, and is availing itself of the very warm waters of the Caribbean. Should this trend continue, Laura may indeed yet become a hurricane, albeit a good distance southwest of where it was originally forecast to do so.

Interests in the central to western Gulf of Mexico may want to begin paying much more attention to Laura, as the odds of not one, but possibly two landfalling significant tropical cyclones is going up.

This does not yet clear Florida. Tropical models seem to be struggling this year. They are lacking lots of flight data, and this is an especially unusual setup with two tropical cyclones in the western Atlantic so close to each other at the same time. As always, best to pay close attention to the NHC and local NWS for the most relevant, local and official weather information.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Hurricane Laura Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Aug 22 2020 01:23 PM
Re: Hurricane Laura Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Aug 25 2020 08:54 PM
Re: Hurricane Laura Lounge	IsoFlame	Wed Aug 26 2020 03:15 PM
Re: Hurricane Laura Lounge	IsoFlame	Wed Aug 26 2020 03:51 PM
Re: Hurricane Laura Lounge	Psyber	Wed Aug 26 2020 08:09 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Aug 25 2020 02:08 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	IsoFlame	Tue Aug 25 2020 04:04 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Aug 25 2020 04:31 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	IsoFlame	Tue Aug 25 2020 10:16 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	JMII	Tue Aug 25 2020 09:18 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	cieldumort	Mon Aug 24 2020 07:37 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 24 2020 10:25 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	IsoFlame	Mon Aug 24 2020 01:24 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 24 2020 11:29 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Aug 22 2020 01:23 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Aug 22 2020 02:49 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	scottsvb	Sat Aug 22 2020 03:13 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	Owlguin	Sat Aug 22 2020 03:48 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Aug 22 2020 03:12 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	JMII	Sat Aug 22 2020 08:35 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Aug 22 2020 09:28 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Aug 22 2020 10:58 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	IsoFlame	Sun Aug 23 2020 07:25 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	JMII	Sun Aug 23 2020 09:04 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	IsoFlame	Sun Aug 23 2020 02:08 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	Prospero	Sun Aug 23 2020 08:09 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	JMII	Sun Aug 23 2020 08:36 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	Keith B	Sun Aug 23 2020 01:19 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	MikeC	Fri Aug 21 2020 06:49 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	MichaelA	Sat Aug 22 2020 08:03 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	Lamar-Plant City	Sat Aug 22 2020 10:23 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	scottsvb	Sat Aug 22 2020 11:02 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	Lamar-Plant City	Sat Aug 22 2020 11:33 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	JMII	Sat Aug 22 2020 12:29 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	scottsvb	Sat Aug 22 2020 11:59 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	MikeC	Sat Aug 22 2020 12:01 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Laura Lounge	scottsvb	Sat Aug 22 2020 12:24 PM
Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Fri Aug 21 2020 08:31 AM
Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge	doug	Fri Aug 21 2020 09:04 AM
Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Fri Aug 21 2020 10:43 AM
Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Fri Aug 21 2020 12:29 PM
Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Fri Aug 21 2020 12:29 PM
Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge	EMS	Fri Aug 21 2020 12:57 PM
Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Fri Aug 21 2020 01:11 PM
Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Fri Aug 21 2020 02:23 PM
Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge	doug	Fri Aug 21 2020 02:44 PM
Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge	JMII	Fri Aug 21 2020 05:23 PM
Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge	JMII	Fri Aug 21 2020 08:43 AM
Re: TD13 Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Fri Aug 21 2020 07:44 AM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Wed Aug 19 2020 03:38 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	Prospero	Wed Aug 19 2020 06:45 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	NewWatcher	Wed Aug 19 2020 08:42 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 19 2020 10:34 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 20 2020 12:37 AM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 20 2020 06:59 AM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 20 2020 07:44 AM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Aug 21 2020 05:30 AM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Wed Aug 19 2020 08:21 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	Prospero	Wed Aug 19 2020 08:36 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 18 2020 08:56 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 18 2020 10:10 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 19 2020 07:54 AM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	doug	Wed Aug 19 2020 10:06 AM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	JMII	Thu Aug 20 2020 09:07 AM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 20 2020 12:23 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Thu Aug 20 2020 06:02 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Thu Aug 20 2020 08:53 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 20 2020 10:02 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	Lamar-Plant City	Thu Aug 20 2020 10:40 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 19 2020 12:15 PM
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge	craigm	Tue Aug 18 2020 04:48 PM

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