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The 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins on June 1st, 2022. Normal Tropical Weather Outlooks Resume May 15th.
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Reged: Mon
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 98L Lounge
      Thu Sep 17 2020 11:11 PM

Above: 98L IR 09/17/17 0115z w/ASCAT (times not perfectly aligned).
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Deep convection has improved signficantly with 98L tonight, and a recent ASCAT pass earlier showed its trof consolidating about a primary center. The incipient cyclone is currently enjoying a region of easing northwesterly shear and a moist atmosphere above a gradually expanding region of warm and warming SSTs.

98L continues to improve, and just a modest increase in organization would likely prompt NHC advisories. The next name on the list is Wilfred, although Alpha is next up after that, if TD22 grabs it first.

Models suggest that 98L might have a limited life as a Tropical Cyclone with increasing shear ahead, but in light of this season, it's past time to not write off any feature in the Atlantic, and it will be important to take a fresh, hard look at this one after it has been named, assuming it does get named, and after models have had time to update with new information.

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* Wilfred Lounge cieldumortModerator Thu Sep 17 2020 11:11 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Sep 17 2020 11:11 PM

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