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A few swirls trying to earn an Invest tag in the final days of the 2021 Season. Their environment is not ideal for development.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 76 (Nicholas) , Major: 92 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1146 (Michael) Major: 1146 (Michael)
 


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MikeCAdministrator
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Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Delta Lounge
      Mon Oct 05 2020 09:30 AM

Delta's trend of NW movement is sketchy, although the center hasn't formed, the impact of Gamma on the track and intensity I think will be in Delta's favor. Meaning the moisture provided by Gamma is going to help Delta get organized, especially on Wednesday/Thursday.

The models are having a hard time this morning with it, but the trend has been generally westward. But I suspect it'll be better handled by tomorrow. Unlike Sally, Delta is expected to move somewhat quickly. Thus the tracks will probably be a bit better, and a wild shift east like Sally had is unlikely. So SE LA/MS seems a lot more likely this go around than Sally did when steering collapsed.

It likely will be weakening at landfall, which is good, but depends on how much it strengthens on Wed/Thursday is to the surge impact.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Delta Lounge cieldumortModerator Mon Oct 05 2020 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Delta Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Oct 06 2020 01:21 AM
. * * Re: Delta Lounge Rob Moser   Tue Oct 06 2020 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Delta Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Oct 06 2020 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Delta Lounge cieldumortModerator   Mon Oct 05 2020 06:38 PM
. * * Re: Delta Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Oct 05 2020 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Delta Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Oct 05 2020 03:41 PM
. * * Re: Delta Lounge kspkap   Mon Oct 05 2020 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Delta Lounge kspkap   Mon Oct 05 2020 02:10 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Oct 04 2020 05:15 PM

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