Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


A few swirls trying to earn an Invest tag in the final days of the 2021 Season. Their environment is not ideal for development.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 74 (Nicholas) , Major: 90 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1144 (Michael) Major: 1144 (Michael)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2020 Forecast Lounge

IsoFlame
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 195
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: 91L Caribbean Area to Watch
      Mon Oct 12 2020 04:09 PM

GFS 12z has a strong hurricane spinning up in the Caribbean, crossing Cuba, then impacting Florida peninsula in 2 weeks: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2020101212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_60.png
Each of the last 3 model runs has been further west and stronger. 12z was a bit slower bringing the system out of the Caribbean, consequently more time over warm/deep seawater allows pressure to bottom out around 941mb prior to Cuban landfall. While 2 weeks out is a hard sale for any model to pin on, the 12z GFS and the relative run to run consistency

--------------------
CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Gamma Lounge cieldumortModerator Mon Oct 12 2020 04:09 PM
. * * Re: 91L Caribbean Area to Watch cieldumortModerator   Fri Oct 02 2020 01:27 AM
. * * Re: 91L Caribbean Area to Watch MichaelA   Fri Oct 02 2020 01:37 PM
. * * Re: 91L Caribbean Area to Watch ftlaudbob   Fri Oct 02 2020 02:50 PM
. * * Re: 91L Caribbean Area to Watch MichaelA   Fri Oct 02 2020 09:19 PM
. * * Re: 91L Caribbean Area to Watch ftlaudbob   Sat Oct 03 2020 09:15 AM
. * * Re: 91L Caribbean Area to Watch IsoFlame   Mon Oct 12 2020 04:09 PM
. * * Re: 91L Caribbean Area to Watch IsoFlame   Mon Oct 12 2020 09:50 PM
. * * Re: 91L Caribbean Area to Watch IsoFlame   Tue Oct 13 2020 10:51 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 1 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  CFHC, MikeC, Ed Dunham, Colleen A., Atricks, danielw, Clark, Christine H, RedingtonBeachGuy, SkeetoBite, Bloodstar, tpratch, typhoon_tip, cieldumort, Jackie M, Wigeon, Hank Buck 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 5456

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center