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92L East of the Bahamas up to 50% chance for development. NE Florida and Georgia should watch closely. Area behind Alberto up to 60% chance to develop.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 295 (Idalia) , Major: 295 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 295 (Idalia) Major: 295 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

Kevin
Weather Master

Reged:
Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida

Re: 5:30 PM tropical outlook.
Mon Jul 08 2002 12:07 AM

Colleen: The hurricane hunters rarely stay in any system for more than 3-4 hours. This is usually due to reasons such as fuel consomption. And when they are flying around a storm and inside of it, they only use two of the four engines. It's quite hard to see in these things at night and they don't do it unless they absolutely have to. The last time NHC did a nighttime mission (I'm not sure about this) was with Erin of 1995. As long as this thing keep some of it's convection and keeps it's good structure recon will be back in tommorrow.

Shawn: You're correct about the convection issue. I just looked on the IR and the convection is only moderate at best...I have a feeling this could be a problem with this system. In order for TD status by 11 tonight or even 5 tommorrow morning, this thing must hold and develop some more convection. But knowing NHC, they will fly recon in tommorrow afternoon to check on the circulation's status and what kind of shape it's in. The chances of development are about 65% IMO, maybe higher.

Edited by Kevin (Mon Jul 08 2002 12:08 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Let's Get Spinning!	CFHC	Mon Jul 08 2002 12:07 AM
Re: Let's Get Spinning!	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 12:39 AM
Arthur may be coming...	Kevin	Sat Jul 06 2002 02:52 AM
Re: Arthur may be coming...	Matthew	Sat Jul 06 2002 03:28 AM
Re: Arthur may be coming...	Matthew	Sat Jul 06 2002 03:41 AM
delays	Anonymous (HF)	Sat Jul 06 2002 04:22 AM
Thunder storms reform over the center of low.	Matthew	Sat Jul 06 2002 06:53 AM
tropical system number one is forming	Matthew	Sat Jul 06 2002 08:19 AM
This storm died like them all.	Anonymous	Sat Jul 06 2002 10:05 AM
Re: This storm died like them all.	ShawnS	Sat Jul 06 2002 06:23 PM
Re: This storm died like them all.	BabyCat	Sat Jul 06 2002 11:23 PM
various annoyances	Anonymous (HF)	Sat Jul 06 2002 09:47 PM
Re: various annoyances	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 07 2002 01:42 AM
Re: various annoyances	Frank P	Sun Jul 07 2002 02:23 AM
The thunderstorms over the gulf die down	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 02:33 AM
timeframe	Anonymous (HF)	Sun Jul 07 2002 03:45 AM
crap	Anonymous (HF)	Sun Jul 07 2002 03:46 AM
your talking about 1975 hurricane 12#	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 05:50 AM
Guam could get it again new t.d	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 06:23 AM
new killer flood for texas may form!!!	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 10:59 AM
Re: new killer flood for texas may form!!!	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 01:02 PM
TRY hard not to make people mad!!!	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 01:28 PM
there 95l	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 01:51 PM
Re: there 95l	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 01:59 PM
Re: there 95l	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 02:17 PM
GOMEX.	Kevin	Sun Jul 07 2002 02:22 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 02:36 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 02:42 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Rad	Sun Jul 07 2002 02:46 PM
Re: GOMEX.	ShawnS	Sun Jul 07 2002 03:04 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 03:12 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 03:19 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 03:49 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 04:13 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 04:35 PM
This is why I dont visit this site anymore	Greyman	Sun Jul 07 2002 04:56 PM
Thanks!	Eduardo	Sun Jul 07 2002 08:31 PM
Re: This is why I dont visit this site anymore	ShawnS	Sun Jul 07 2002 05:21 PM
Re: This is why I dont visit this site anymore	ShawnS	Sun Jul 07 2002 07:41 PM
Re: Recon	Colleen A.	Sun Jul 07 2002 08:50 PM
Re: Recon	Kevin	Sun Jul 07 2002 09:14 PM
5:30 PM tropical outlook.	Kevin	Sun Jul 07 2002 09:31 PM
Re: 5:30 PM tropical outlook.	Colleen A.	Sun Jul 07 2002 09:41 PM
Re: 5:30 PM tropical outlook.	Kevin	Mon Jul 08 2002 12:07 AM
structure	Anonymous (HF)	Mon Jul 08 2002 12:32 AM
Re: structure	Ed Dunham	Mon Jul 08 2002 01:43 AM
Hey everyone...	Anonymous	Mon Jul 08 2002 03:56 AM
vanishing act	Anonymous (HF)	Mon Jul 08 2002 05:35 AM
Re: vanishing act	Rich B	Mon Jul 08 2002 07:43 AM
Re: vanishing act	CaneMan	Mon Jul 08 2002 10:40 AM
Re: vanishing act	Hurric	Mon Jul 08 2002 12:14 PM
Re: vanishing act	ShawnS	Mon Jul 08 2002 12:49 PM
Re: structure	Frank P	Mon Jul 08 2002 01:15 AM
Re: structure	ShawnS	Mon Jul 08 2002 12:46 AM
Re: structure	ShawnS	Mon Jul 08 2002 01:00 AM
Re: 5:30 PM tropical outlook.	ShawnS	Sun Jul 07 2002 09:38 PM
Re: 5:30 PM tropical outlook.	Colleen A.	Sun Jul 07 2002 09:43 PM
Re: 5:30 PM tropical outlook.	Anonymous (HF)	Sun Jul 07 2002 09:52 PM
Re: 5:30 PM tropical outlook.	Frank P	Sun Jul 07 2002 10:36 PM
GOM Vis Sat Loop	Frank P	Sun Jul 07 2002 11:00 PM
Re: GOM Vis Sat Loop	Rich B	Sun Jul 07 2002 11:16 PM
Re: GOM Vis Sat Loop	ShawnS	Sun Jul 07 2002 11:40 PM
Re: GOM Vis Sat Loop	Rad	Sun Jul 07 2002 11:34 PM
GOM	BabyCat	Sun Jul 07 2002 08:07 PM
95 L is probably a go.	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 08:22 PM
Once again, I forget to login. (lol) n/t	Kevin	Sun Jul 07 2002 08:24 PM
fyi from BabyCat	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 05:14 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Rad	Sun Jul 07 2002 04:40 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 04:49 PM
MATTHEW!!!!!!!!!!!!!	Anonymous	Sun Jul 07 2002 05:57 PM
gfdl	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 07:32 PM
95L	Anonymous (HF)	Sun Jul 07 2002 07:40 PM
95L	Anonymous (HF)	Sun Jul 07 2002 05:25 PM
This is a sad day for me.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 05:13 PM
Re: This is a sad day for me.	Colleen A.	Sun Jul 07 2002 08:55 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 04:48 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 03:45 PM
Re: GOMEX.	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 03:17 PM
new killer flood for texas may form!!!	Matthew	Sun Jul 07 2002 10:53 AM
Re: GOM	Frank P	Sun Jul 07 2002 05:23 AM
Re: GOM	Kevin	Sun Jul 07 2002 01:41 PM
timeframe	Anonymous (HF)	Sun Jul 07 2002 03:45 AM
Re: Let's Get Spinning!	Matthew	Fri Jul 05 2002 09:00 PM
choices, choices	Anonymous (HF)	Fri Jul 05 2002 10:01 PM
cor	Anonymous (HF)	Fri Jul 05 2002 10:03 PM
Re: cor	ShawnS	Fri Jul 05 2002 10:09 PM
This is what I think	Anonymous	Sat Jul 06 2002 12:13 AM
Re: Let's Get Spinning!	Matthew	Fri Jul 05 2002 09:49 PM

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