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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

Kevin
Weather Master

Reged:
Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida

The end may be near for 95L.
Mon Jul 08 2002 06:45 PM

Just as curiousity kills the cat, convection (or lack of) kills the prospect. Ever since last evening this system has been going downhill with all of it's convection nearly dissipating overnight. It has some back today, but it also looks more elongated. Didn't think I'd have to say this...it's dead and my forecast was way off of the mark.

There is an interesting "blob" off of southeast Florida today that has gained some attention. It looks pretty decent on satellite imagery (actually, I'll say it looks better than 95L despite it having no circulation) but I'm staying conservative with this one. It must first get some type of LLC, which may not occur until it is in the Gulf, if at all. NHC hasn't mentioned this system yet, and I don't believe they will until it is in the Gulf and until it shows persistence. If it does develop a circulation, it could develop. In any event, 95L is probably a good warm-up for the hurricane hunters. I'll stay conservative with development chances, 3-5% and only in the GOMEX. But with steering currents as weak as they are, they could give this system a chance to sit and brew. Who knows what could happen then.

ITCZ: The western area of it has been very active lately. It needs to come more north, and the upper-level conditions need to become more favorable for one of these waves to develop. However, since the waves seem to flaring up further west, my ideas of developments closer to the islands this year may be in line. We'll see.

I had to ask...

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Texas Does not Need This	CFHC	Mon Jul 08 2002 06:45 PM
Tropical Weather Watchers Forecast Center	Jason Moreland	Mon Jul 08 2002 11:01 PM
Re: Texas Does not Need This	CaneMan	Mon Jul 08 2002 01:29 PM
Re: Texas Does not Need This	Colleen A.	Mon Jul 08 2002 02:57 PM
Buoy Readings	Colleen A.	Mon Jul 08 2002 03:32 PM
gulf/florida	Anonymous (HF)	Mon Jul 08 2002 05:08 PM
The end may be near for 95L.	Kevin	Mon Jul 08 2002 06:45 PM
Re: The end may be near for 95L.	Rich B	Mon Jul 08 2002 07:39 PM
Florida System & 95L	Colleen A.	Mon Jul 08 2002 07:47 PM
Colleen, my assessment of what really is happening	Frank P	Mon Jul 08 2002 09:19 PM
when to write off	Anonymous (HF)	Mon Jul 08 2002 10:07 PM
Re: when to write off	ShawnS	Mon Jul 08 2002 11:11 PM
a go at a forecast!!!	Matthew	Mon Jul 08 2002 11:33 PM
Re: a go at a forecast!!!	Matthew	Tue Jul 09 2002 07:58 AM
Re: a go at a forecast!!!	Anonymous	Tue Jul 09 2002 12:04 AM
Re: a go at a forecast!!!	Steve	Tue Jul 09 2002 12:01 AM
Florida convection and more.	Kevin	Mon Jul 08 2002 11:25 PM
Low Level Circulation	Ed Dunham	Tue Jul 09 2002 12:09 AM
Re: Low Level Circulation	Rad	Tue Jul 09 2002 12:14 AM
Re: Low Level Circulation	Ed Dunham	Tue Jul 09 2002 12:55 AM
Re: Low Level Circulation	wxman007	Tue Jul 09 2002 02:09 AM
Some sort of Spin!!	ShawnS	Tue Jul 09 2002 03:17 AM
Re: Some sort of Spin!!	wxman007	Tue Jul 09 2002 03:36 AM
Re: Some sort of Spin!!	ShawnS	Tue Jul 09 2002 04:09 AM
Re: Some sort of Spin!!	wxman007	Tue Jul 09 2002 04:24 AM
Re: Some sort of Spin!!	Bruce	Thu Jul 11 2002 04:48 AM
Re: Some sort of Spin!!	Robert	Thu Jul 11 2002 05:57 AM
96L	Rich B	Thu Jul 11 2002 09:30 AM
Re: 96L	CaneMan	Thu Jul 11 2002 10:04 AM
Re: 96L	recmod	Thu Jul 11 2002 03:07 PM
Re: 96L	CaneMan	Thu Jul 11 2002 10:07 AM
Re: 96L	Rich B	Thu Jul 11 2002 11:48 AM
Re: 96L	Matthew	Thu Jul 11 2002 01:03 PM
Here's a prediction for Tuesday and Wednesday...	Steve	Tue Jul 09 2002 05:06 AM
time to drop it	Anonymous (HF)	Tue Jul 09 2002 06:08 AM
Re: time to drop it	Rich B	Tue Jul 09 2002 08:47 AM
Re: time to drop it	Frank P	Tue Jul 09 2002 01:17 PM
Re: time to drop it	Frank P	Tue Jul 09 2002 01:39 PM
Re: Jason	CaneMan	Tue Jul 09 2002 01:53 PM
Re: Jason	wxman007	Tue Jul 09 2002 02:35 PM
Heavy Rain	Joe	Tue Jul 09 2002 03:01 PM
Re: Heavy Rain	Steve	Tue Jul 09 2002 03:50 PM
Re: Heavy Rain	Frank P	Tue Jul 09 2002 04:29 PM
Re: Heavy Rain	CaneMan	Tue Jul 09 2002 05:10 PM
east gulf	Anonymous (HF)	Tue Jul 09 2002 06:48 PM
96L	Anonymous	Tue Jul 09 2002 07:12 PM
Re: 96L	Anonymous-Doug	Tue Jul 09 2002 07:42 PM
Re: 96L	Colleen A.	Tue Jul 09 2002 09:26 PM
d ratings	Anonymous (HF)	Tue Jul 09 2002 10:04 PM
Eastern Gulf	Joe	Tue Jul 09 2002 10:14 PM
Re: d ratings	Colleen A.	Tue Jul 09 2002 10:10 PM
Caneman	Rad	Tue Jul 09 2002 10:37 PM
Re: Caneman	Steve	Tue Jul 09 2002 11:07 PM
Re: Caneman	Frank P	Wed Jul 10 2002 12:19 AM
Re: Caneman	ShawnS	Wed Jul 10 2002 12:38 AM
Re: Caneman	CaneMAn	Wed Jul 10 2002 01:06 AM
Steve Lyon's eyes may be seriously mistaken.	Kevin	Wed Jul 10 2002 02:00 AM
Re: Steve Lyon's eyes may be seriously mistaken.	Rad	Wed Jul 10 2002 02:16 AM
Re: Steve Lyon's eyes may be seriously mistaken.	Joe	Wed Jul 10 2002 03:54 AM
er	Anonymous (HF)	Wed Jul 10 2002 05:25 AM
coming week	Anonymous	Wed Jul 10 2002 06:15 AM
Re: coming week	Robert	Wed Jul 10 2002 06:19 AM
Re: coming week	Matthew	Wed Jul 10 2002 10:39 AM
messed up on a few words sorry	Matthew	Wed Jul 10 2002 10:41 AM
Does S. Florida Need This?	Hurric	Wed Jul 10 2002 11:53 AM
Re: Does S. Florida Need This?	HURRICANELONNY	Wed Jul 10 2002 12:14 PM
Early morning obs	Frank P	Wed Jul 10 2002 12:50 PM
Re: Early morning obs	Rich B	Wed Jul 10 2002 01:18 PM
Re: Early morning obs	Frank P	Wed Jul 10 2002 02:02 PM
Re: Early morning obs	Frank P	Wed Jul 10 2002 02:09 PM
wow that low looks nice.	Matthew	Wed Jul 10 2002 02:17 PM
Gabrielle	Rad	Wed Jul 10 2002 04:08 PM
Re: Gabrielle	CaneMan	Wed Jul 10 2002 04:13 PM
Test on 96L	garyb	Wed Jul 10 2002 05:20 PM
Re: Test on 96L	Anonymous	Wed Jul 10 2002 05:54 PM
Re: Test on 96L	Steve	Wed Jul 10 2002 06:30 PM
GFDL....	wxman007	Wed Jul 10 2002 08:03 PM
Re: GFDL....	andy1tom	Wed Jul 10 2002 09:05 PM
Re: GFDL....	wxman007	Wed Jul 10 2002 09:12 PM
Re: GFDL....	Steve	Wed Jul 10 2002 10:00 PM
Re: GFDL....	Rich B	Wed Jul 10 2002 10:40 PM
Re: GFDL....	wxman007	Wed Jul 10 2002 10:43 PM
Anybody think...	wxman007	Wed Jul 10 2002 11:08 PM
Re: Anybody think...	Rich B	Wed Jul 10 2002 11:30 PM
Re: Anybody think...	Matthew	Wed Jul 10 2002 11:22 PM
another look	Anonymous (HF)	Wed Jul 10 2002 11:52 PM
New Test Runs	garyb	Thu Jul 11 2002 01:25 PM
this is not the 96l its a fast low out of now were	Matthew	Thu Jul 11 2002 01:43 PM
Re: this is not the 96l its a fast low out of now were	Anonymous	Thu Jul 11 2002 03:08 PM
Re: this is not the 96l its a fast low out of now were	GaryC	Thu Jul 11 2002 04:10 PM
Re: this is not the 96l its a fast low out of now were	Joe	Thu Jul 11 2002 04:17 PM
different page	Anonymous (HF)	Thu Jul 11 2002 04:55 PM
hey, where are the west florida people at?	GaryC	Thu Jul 11 2002 05:07 PM
Re: hey, where are the west florida people at?	Rad	Fri Jul 12 2002 01:56 AM
Southern cross?	Rad	Fri Jul 12 2002 11:06 AM
Re: Southern cross?	Matthew	Fri Jul 12 2002 11:49 AM
Re: Southern cross?	Matthew	Fri Jul 12 2002 11:53 AM
Re: Southern cross?	Joe	Fri Jul 12 2002 02:47 PM
Re: Southern cross?	CaneMan	Fri Jul 12 2002 03:13 PM
friday, take four	Anonymous (HF)	Fri Jul 12 2002 03:25 AM
Re: hey, where are the west florida people at?	CaneMan	Thu Jul 11 2002 05:16 PM
Re: hey, where are the west florida people at?	BabyCat	Thu Jul 11 2002 05:42 PM
Getting interesting	Stormfan	Thu Jul 11 2002 07:33 PM
upper/surface lows	Anonymous (HF)	Thu Jul 11 2002 05:49 PM
Re: upper/surface lows	CaneMan	Thu Jul 11 2002 05:57 PM
Re: upper/surface lows	BabyCat	Thu Jul 11 2002 07:05 PM
Re: upper/surface lows	garyb	Thu Jul 11 2002 07:37 PM
Re: upper/surface lows	BabyCat	Thu Jul 11 2002 07:50 PM
what a mess	Anonymous (HF)	Thu Jul 11 2002 09:48 PM
Re: what a mess	Joe	Thu Jul 11 2002 10:00 PM
Re: what a mess	Rich B	Thu Jul 11 2002 10:14 PM
Re: upper/surface lows	Joe	Thu Jul 11 2002 06:07 PM
Re: upper/surface lows	Anonymous-(Doug)	Thu Jul 11 2002 07:04 PM
Re: this is not the 96l its a fast low out of now were	Rich B	Thu Jul 11 2002 04:38 PM
Gulf Low	Joe	Thu Jul 11 2002 03:49 PM
Re: Gulf Low	MarkR	Thu Jul 11 2002 04:00 PM
Re: Gulf Low	Rich B	Thu Jul 11 2002 04:09 PM
Re: another look	ShawnS	Thu Jul 11 2002 01:22 AM
18z GFDL is....	wxman007	Thu Jul 11 2002 01:55 AM
Re: 18z GFDL is....	ShawnS	Thu Jul 11 2002 03:04 AM
Re: 18z GFDL is....	Steve	Thu Jul 11 2002 04:02 AM
Re: GFDL....	ShawnS	Wed Jul 10 2002 11:08 PM
Re: GFDL....	Frank P	Wed Jul 10 2002 08:17 PM
routine GFDL	Anonymous (HF)	Wed Jul 10 2002 08:28 PM
Re: GFDL....	wxman007	Wed Jul 10 2002 08:28 PM
Re: GFDL....	Steve	Wed Jul 10 2002 08:22 PM
Re: GFDL....	GaryC	Wed Jul 10 2002 08:31 PM
more	Anonymous (HF)	Wed Jul 10 2002 09:03 PM
Re: GFDL....	wxman007	Wed Jul 10 2002 08:58 PM
Re: GFDL....	Steve	Wed Jul 10 2002 08:16 PM
Re: GFDL....	jth	Wed Jul 10 2002 08:16 PM
lessons	Anonymous (HF)	Wed Jul 10 2002 04:06 PM
Re: lessons	Frank P	Wed Jul 10 2002 04:49 PM
Re: gabby	Rad	Wed Jul 10 2002 04:13 PM
no there ants all over my bed.	Anonymous	Wed Jul 10 2002 11:47 AM
My world tropical forecast was whiped off!!!	Matthew	Wed Jul 10 2002 05:23 AM
Re: Caneman	BabyCat	Wed Jul 10 2002 12:11 AM
Re: 96L	Rich B	Tue Jul 09 2002 08:37 PM
Re: 96L	Steve	Tue Jul 09 2002 07:32 PM
Re: Heavy Rain	Anonymous-(Doug)	Tue Jul 09 2002 04:26 PM
Re: Heavy Rain	Frank P	Tue Jul 09 2002 06:23 PM
Eastern Gulf	Joe	Tue Jul 09 2002 06:45 PM
Re: time to drop it	wxman007	Tue Jul 09 2002 01:23 PM
Re: Low Level Circulation	ShawnS	Tue Jul 09 2002 12:34 AM

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