Invest 95L in the Tropical Atlantic now has a 90% chance to develop over the next 7 days, and a 70% chance to do so in the next 48 hours. Recon scheduled for Sunday morning.a
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
302 (Idalia)
, Major:
302 (Idalia)
Florida - Any: 302 (Idalia)
Major:
302 (Idalia)
FWIW, the Penn State MM5 15 km Tropical run was doing the same thing in nearly the same location last night. (Closed low centered S of the Miss River)
(Added) and actually does it today as well on the 00z run from last night...parks it just south of the mouth and deepens it for about 72 hours with no definative motion to speak of (would be a HEAVY rain even from NO to MOB)
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