In reply to: LAST NIGHTS RUN OF THE MRF WAS VERY INTERESTING...BRINGING ISABEL
JUST NORTH BUT VERY CLOSE TO THE LOCAL AREA AS IT MOVED VERY SLOWLY
TOWARDS THE SE BAHAMAS. A LOT OF QUESTIONS REMAIN CONCERNING THE
FORECAST OF ISABEL BEFORE WE CAN CONSIDER THIS MRF SOLUTION JUST
YET...BUT IF THE OVERALL FORECAST VERIFIES REASONABLY...THEN A VERY
SLOW MOVING HURRICANE WILL MOVE FROM THE ATLANTIC WATERS ADJACENT
TO THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN...AND TAKE SEVERAL DAYS TO MOVE WNW OR NW
AWAY FROM THE LOCAL REGION AND INTO THE SW ATLC...DUE TO A BLOCKING
PATTERN ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC FORECAST BY GLOBAL MODELS.
MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND...AND THE FOLLOWING WORK WEEK
WILL THUS BE VERY INTERESTING...AND WILL BE A CONSTANTLY EVOLVING
AND CHANGING SCENARIO.
From the sounds of this and the latest NHC forecast track, it seems that the shortwave that will be weakening the ridge some this weekend will do little more than just slow the storm down some and move it west-northwest. Still not sure of exactly what to do with the system after day 5.
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