And actually, even though there might have been a more northward wobble a while ago (as Mitch pointed out), there might have been a more westward wobble the last hour or so. (Hard to tell how much of this was actual motion or just the eye wobbling.)
Regardless, since the 11 am advisory came out, it appears that the motion has averaged out to about 300 degrees, maybe 310 but I think closer to 300. This isn't far off the NHC's initial estimate of 290 degrees in the 11 am advisory, so I think it's too early to conclude that the NHC understimated the effect of that upper low.
But of course, the majority of storms in that area end up being fish spinners, so if you're a betting person you'll come out better in the long run if you always take the odds and bet fish.
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Re: Upper Low/trof ahead of Isabel
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