Its early in the game, but I don't like the set up. I'll leave it at that. the ridge is further west on this one than Fabian, and the ECMWF shows it at 22N/75W heading WNW. The ridge will be strong, but for how long. Trough talk is hall talk for the weekend, and since Henri isn't there like the models thought earlier, well, as the HPC discussion says, the trough is currently progged to stay in the heart land of the CONUS. Way early, but I don't like. Strange night in central Florida, with a cool breeze from the west, like a trough came through, probably the following wind behind Henri. Isabel is turning west now, you can see the E - W orientation that previously was N - S, and the convection is on the west side. The eye will follow. Cheers!!
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