VERY interesting. Of course, all of this hinges on what Isabel does in the short term (whether it turns west or not, mainly).
So, what happens if Isabel slows/stalls? An upper level trough weakening and moving north..hmm. That would probably mean that the trough would pull out without carrying Isabel with it, so Florida probably gets claubered big time in the Wednesday to Friday timeframe. *But that is only one sceanrio, and it is long range.*
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