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Recon finding #Sam a vigorous Cat 4 and may be knocking on Cat 5 w/ a tight inner core. Hopefully staying away from land.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 12 (Nicholas) , Major: 28 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1082 (Michael) Major: 1082 (Michael)
13.9N 50.2W
Wind: 145MPH
Pres: 943mb
Wnw at 8 mph
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General Discussion >> 2021 Forecast Lounge


Reged: Sun
Posts: 4426
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Long Range Model Speculation 2021
      Wed Jun 23 2021 10:48 AM

The euro ensembles from this morning shows numerous ensemble members with development just off the coast of Sierra Leone and Liberia in about 2-3 days.

Water temps in this region are running above the long term average and there is a substantial tropical wave about to emerge from the west coast of Africa so I suppose it is plausible that we could see something try to get going that far east. Currently there is no mention of this from the NHC but that could change if the idea persists later today.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Long Range Model Speculation 2021 MikeCAdministrator Wed Jun 23 2021 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Long Range Model Speculation 2021 MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jun 11 2021 08:18 AM
. * * Re: Long Range Model Speculation 2021 MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 23 2021 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Long Range Model Speculation 2021 IsoFlame   Mon Jun 28 2021 08:13 AM

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