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Ian has made landfall as 150MPH Cat 4 w/ widespread inland gusts of 80-120+ MPH and record storm surge
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 0 (Ian) , Major: 0 (Ian) Florida - Any: 0 (Ian) Major: 0 (Ian)
27.2N 81.7W
Wind: 115MPH
Pres: 960mb
Moving:
Nne at 8 mph
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16.7N 34.7W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1008mb
Moving:
Nnw at 10 mph
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Archives 2020s >> 2021 Forecast Lounge

EMS
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Tue
Posts: 54
Loc: St. Petersburg, Florida
Re: mid level circulation
      Mon Jul 05 2021 08:31 AM

This looks like a tropical storm in its formative stages on satellite this morning. Unless something crazy happens (like a reformation of a vertically aligned center further south of the current position), Elsa may barely survive the trip across Cuba. Also with the circulation so small and models trending a bit more west, odds of a significant wind or surge event appear to be significantly decreasing for West Central Florida. Have to keep watch once it gets back in the Gulf but I’m cautiously optimistic July climatology wins out on this one.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Elsa Lounge cieldumortModerator Mon Jul 05 2021 08:31 AM
. * * Re: Elsa Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Jul 06 2021 09:12 PM
. * * Re: Elsa Lounge JMII   Tue Jul 06 2021 10:28 PM
. * * Re: Elsa Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Jul 06 2021 11:33 PM
. * * Re: Elsa Lounge doug   Wed Jul 07 2021 06:48 AM
. * * Re: Elsa Lounge doug   Wed Jul 07 2021 11:56 AM
. * * UKMET track question tinahdee   Sat Jul 03 2021 04:58 PM
. * * Re: UKMET track question cieldumortModerator   Sat Jul 03 2021 05:28 PM
. * * Re: UKMET track question MichaelA   Sat Jul 03 2021 07:10 PM
. * * Re: UKMET track question OrlandoDan   Sun Jul 04 2021 06:54 AM
. * * Re: UKMET track question doug   Sun Jul 04 2021 09:09 AM
. * * Re: UKMET track question MichaelA   Sun Jul 04 2021 10:03 AM
. * * Re: UKMET track question JMII   Sun Jul 04 2021 05:26 PM
. * * Re: UKMET track question Lamar-Plant City   Sun Jul 04 2021 08:07 PM
. * * Re: UKMET track question Lautermilch   Sun Jul 04 2021 08:24 PM
. * * mid level circulation Robert   Sun Jul 04 2021 10:32 PM
. * * Re: mid level circulation JMII   Sun Jul 04 2021 11:35 PM
. * * Re: mid level circulation OrlandoDan   Mon Jul 05 2021 06:09 AM
. * * Re: mid level circulation JMII   Mon Jul 05 2021 08:46 AM
. * * Re: mid level circulation MichaelA   Mon Jul 05 2021 09:15 AM
. * * Re: mid level circulation tinahdee   Mon Jul 05 2021 03:04 PM
. * * Re: mid level circulation JMII   Mon Jul 05 2021 04:21 PM
. * * Re: mid level circulation MichaelA   Mon Jul 05 2021 08:35 PM
. * * Re: mid level circulation JMII   Mon Jul 05 2021 09:02 PM
. * * Re: mid level circulation Lamar-Plant City   Tue Jul 06 2021 09:45 AM
. * * Re: mid level circulation StormHound   Tue Jul 06 2021 11:52 AM
. * * Re: mid level circulation IsoFlame   Tue Jul 06 2021 12:15 PM
. * * Re: mid level circulation StormHound   Tue Jul 06 2021 02:04 PM
. * * Re: mid level circulation JMII   Tue Jul 06 2021 03:42 PM
. * * Re: mid level circulation IsoFlame   Tue Jul 06 2021 04:32 PM
. * * Re: mid level circulation MichaelA   Tue Jul 06 2021 05:06 PM
. * * Re: mid level circulation JMII   Tue Jul 06 2021 04:44 PM
. * * Re: mid level circulation JMII   Tue Jul 06 2021 10:41 AM
. * * Re: mid level circulation EMS   Mon Jul 05 2021 08:31 AM
. * * Re: UKMET track question Lamar-Plant City   Sun Jul 04 2021 05:12 PM
. * * Re: UKMET track question tinahdee   Sat Jul 03 2021 06:00 PM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge MichaelA   Wed Jun 30 2021 02:18 PM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge doug   Thu Jul 01 2021 09:03 AM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge JMII.   Thu Jul 01 2021 12:40 PM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Jul 01 2021 01:53 PM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge doug   Thu Jul 01 2021 05:29 PM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge OrlandoDan   Thu Jul 01 2021 05:47 PM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge doug   Fri Jul 02 2021 06:00 AM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge scottsvb   Fri Jul 02 2021 11:55 AM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge scottsvb   Fri Jul 02 2021 12:06 PM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 02 2021 03:43 PM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge JMII   Fri Jul 02 2021 09:01 PM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Sat Jul 03 2021 11:28 AM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge doug   Sat Jul 03 2021 08:44 AM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge JMII   Sat Jul 03 2021 11:27 AM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge OrlandoDan   Thu Jul 01 2021 03:30 PM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Jun 30 2021 12:13 AM
. * * Re: 97L Lounge scottsvb   Wed Jun 30 2021 01:15 PM

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