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Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 9 (Fiona) , Major: 394 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1448 (Michael) Major: 1448 (Michael)
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Archives 2020s >> 2021 Forecast Lounge


Reged: Mon
Posts: 2165
Loc: Austin, Tx
Sam Lounge
      Mon Sep 20 2021 06:51 AM

A tropical wave that has rolled off western Africa and is now located several hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands in the far eastern Atlantic is being monitored for development.

This disturbance has a setup favorable for long-track and high-ACE. If indeed 98L does develop, it could threaten land closer to the US based on long range modelling. As such, we are now opening up a Lounge.

Long range forecasts for systems this far out in the Atlantic are often deviled by a dearth of data and aren't the most reliable, but we could have a lot of time to watch this one, and should it come close enough, recon would go in.

NHC development odds at the time of this post of 10%/60% at 2D/5D, respectively.

98L became EIGHTEEN on Sep 22 and the title has been updated

Edited by cieldumort (Thu Sep 23 2021 11:22 AM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Sam Lounge cieldumortModerator Mon Sep 20 2021 06:51 AM
. * * Re: Sam Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Sep 25 2021 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Sam Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Sep 30 2021 12:42 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Mon Sep 20 2021 03:37 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge Mike V   Wed Sep 22 2021 05:21 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge Kraig   Thu Sep 23 2021 06:32 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge doug   Thu Sep 23 2021 08:39 AM

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