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Historic #HurricaneBeryl is now also the earliest #Cat 5 Hurricane in the Atlantic basin in recorded history
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 307 (Idalia) , Major: 307 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 307 (Idalia) Major: 307 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#13A 1:00 am EDT
13.4N 64.0W
Wind: 155MPH
Pres: 938mb
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Wnw at 21 mph
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20.2N 97.8W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
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Wnw at 7 mph
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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4570
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: General Long Range Discussion
      Mon May 16 2022 11:29 AM

NAV genesis near Belize is between 15%-20% http://moe.met.fsu.edu/modelgen/ has that and a few other genesis %. So it's still a nonzero chance something will form near Central America. It's probably enough for the TWO to mention a 10/20% chance soon anyway, but I still doubt it develops. (GFS has is around 39%)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator Mon May 16 2022 11:29 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Thu May 19 2022 07:42 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Wed May 25 2022 09:47 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Fri May 27 2022 04:48 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat May 28 2022 05:54 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jun 09 2022 12:13 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion Robert   Tue Jun 21 2022 04:54 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat May 14 2022 07:41 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat May 14 2022 01:36 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sun May 15 2022 07:53 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion EMS   Sun May 15 2022 08:20 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Mon May 16 2022 09:33 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion scottsvb   Mon May 16 2022 10:39 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Mon May 16 2022 11:29 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion scottsvb   Mon May 16 2022 12:25 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion scottsvb   Wed May 18 2022 12:14 AM

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