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90L crossing over Florida with flooding rains, strong winds and brief tornadoes/spouts. Next week eyes turn to W Gulf in active June pattern
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 289 (Idalia) , Major: 289 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 289 (Idalia) Major: 289 (Idalia)
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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4545
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: General Long Range Discussion
      Thu May 19 2022 11:42 AM

Just to follow up the GFS first pushed back the timeframe, then did eventually drop this. (or pushing whatever is left into the east pacific) Beyond this there's a phantom storm in the very long range time in the area typical for early season development. At that long range it just means look in that general area to see what the trends are, and particularly when the other models get into that timeframe.

As for track and intensity, until a storm actually forms, take model runs with a grain of salt. Ida is a good example of this.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator Thu May 19 2022 11:42 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Thu May 19 2022 11:42 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Wed May 25 2022 01:47 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Fri May 27 2022 08:48 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat May 28 2022 09:54 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jun 09 2022 04:13 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion Robert   Tue Jun 21 2022 08:54 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat May 14 2022 11:41 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat May 14 2022 05:36 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sun May 15 2022 11:53 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion EMS   Sun May 15 2022 12:20 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Mon May 16 2022 01:33 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion scottsvb   Mon May 16 2022 02:39 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Mon May 16 2022 03:29 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion scottsvb   Mon May 16 2022 04:25 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion scottsvb   Wed May 18 2022 04:14 AM

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