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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 277 (Idalia) , Major: 277 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 277 (Idalia) Major: 277 (Idalia)
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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4545
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: General Long Range Discussion
      Fri May 27 2022 08:48 PM

a lot depends on the east pacific (quickly) developing system currently tracked as 91E. This may rapidly strengthen in the next few days before impacting southern Mexico, and may get a chance to cross over into the Atlantic (after being greatly disrupted) so there's a chance we'll need to watch it in Florida very late next week at least for a lot of rain. Euro shows it remaining weak once disrupted, and shear is high which should keep any development chances low in the Gulf. However, the area in the East Pacific it's approaching is prime for Rapid Intensification on the pacific side before landfall in Mexico.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator Fri May 27 2022 08:48 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Thu May 19 2022 11:42 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Wed May 25 2022 01:47 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Fri May 27 2022 08:48 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat May 28 2022 09:54 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jun 09 2022 04:13 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion Robert   Tue Jun 21 2022 08:54 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat May 14 2022 11:41 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat May 14 2022 05:36 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sun May 15 2022 11:53 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion EMS   Sun May 15 2022 12:20 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Mon May 16 2022 01:33 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion scottsvb   Mon May 16 2022 02:39 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Mon May 16 2022 03:29 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion scottsvb   Mon May 16 2022 04:25 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion scottsvb   Wed May 18 2022 04:14 AM

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