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Helene after-Impacts still being felt in some areas. Area to watch for the Gulf Coast in the west Caribbean in a week to week and a half or so, with a 40% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 1 (Helene) , Major: 1 (Helene) Florida - Any: 1 (Helene) Major: 1 (Helene)
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ADV#12 5:00 pm EDT
41.3N 38.4W
Wind: 100MPH
Pres: 968mb
Moving:
Ne at 18 mph
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ADV#6 5:00 pm EDT
20.3N 46.7W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1003mb
Moving:
Wnw at 9 mph
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Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge
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Bloodstar
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Reged:
Posts: 465
Loc: Tucson, AZ
Re: 91L Lounge
      Wed Jun 01 2022 02:07 PM

Well, this year didn't have a preseason storm, but it sure looks like we have a shot at a June TC. In fact, looking at visible Satellite imagery, the LLC looks very closed and there is a decent chunk of convective cloud (-60 and colder) tops over the LLC. While there is shear around the system, It looks like the LLC is currently in a region of low shear along the entire atmospheric column.

A ton of moisture, low shear, and an established LLC? yeah, I think we will see a TC designated by tomorrow morning.

--------------------
M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
NOAA MADIS/HADS Programmer
U. Arizona PhD Student

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Alex Lounge cieldumort Wed Jun 01 2022 02:07 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Jun 02 2022 03:33 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Fri Jun 03 2022 02:28 AM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Prospero   Fri Jun 03 2022 08:37 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Kraig   Sat Jun 04 2022 11:25 AM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Wed Jun 01 2022 08:15 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge JMII   Thu Jun 02 2022 11:36 AM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge OrlandoDan   Thu Jun 02 2022 12:56 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Thu Jun 02 2022 03:00 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Wed Jun 01 2022 04:26 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Bloodstar   Wed Jun 01 2022 02:07 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Kraig   Wed Jun 01 2022 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Agatha and Company MichaelA   Tue May 31 2022 08:40 AM
. * * Re: Agatha and Company IsoFlame   Tue May 31 2022 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Agatha and Company OrlandoDan   Wed Jun 01 2022 12:23 PM

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