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Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 91L Lounge
      Wed Jun 01 2022 04:26 PM

It does look as if Agatha gave up the ghost and yielded almost entirely to the trof that was hugging the coastlines of Belize and eastern Yucatan the past few days, now the location of 91L. What is left of Agatha has mostly been swallowed up by it, save a weak bit of swirl still over the southern Bay of Campeche.

As noted, 91L continues to organize east of its forecast position, and continues to track further to the right, with a stout mid-level center tugging at the surface trof that was off the coast of Belize, aligning it, and Tropical Cyclogenesis may already be underway.

Models that anticipated genesis about the tip of the Yucatan have possibly made a bad call. Recon's data tomorrow will be helpful, although PTC or TC advisories could already be issued by the time they arrive.

This probable initiation that is east-southeast of where anticipated will likely have some influence on future forecast track and intensity, and interests in the northwest Caribbean to Cuba to the Bahamas may also want to pay close attention tonight.




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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Alex Lounge cieldumort Wed Jun 01 2022 04:26 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Jun 02 2022 03:33 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Fri Jun 03 2022 02:28 AM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Prospero   Fri Jun 03 2022 08:37 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Kraig   Sat Jun 04 2022 11:25 AM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Wed Jun 01 2022 08:15 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge JMII   Thu Jun 02 2022 11:36 AM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge OrlandoDan   Thu Jun 02 2022 12:56 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Thu Jun 02 2022 03:00 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Wed Jun 01 2022 04:26 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Bloodstar   Wed Jun 01 2022 02:07 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Kraig   Wed Jun 01 2022 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Agatha and Company MichaelA   Tue May 31 2022 08:40 AM
. * * Re: Agatha and Company IsoFlame   Tue May 31 2022 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Agatha and Company OrlandoDan   Wed Jun 01 2022 12:23 PM

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