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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 275 (Idalia) , Major: 275 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 275 (Idalia) Major: 275 (Idalia)
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Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2306
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 91L Lounge
      Thu Jun 02 2022 12:15 AM


Above: 060118z GFS ensembles. Image cr. Weathernerds.org


The 18z GFS ensembles overall seem to have a much better handle on a more easterly starting position.

Taking a bird's eye view of things, the shift east from other, earlier model runs doesn't change the longer range forecast all that much, as there is consensus on taking whatever 91L is or becomes, north, before veering northeast, such that South Florida would still get a lot of weather, regardless. It just might have more bearing on how much of the state, as well as other locations like Cuba and the Bahamas, see inclement weather.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Alex Lounge cieldumort Thu Jun 02 2022 12:15 AM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Jun 02 2022 07:33 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Fri Jun 03 2022 06:28 AM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Prospero   Sat Jun 04 2022 12:37 AM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Kraig   Sat Jun 04 2022 03:25 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Jun 02 2022 12:15 AM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge JMII   Thu Jun 02 2022 03:36 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge OrlandoDan   Thu Jun 02 2022 04:56 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Thu Jun 02 2022 07:00 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Wed Jun 01 2022 08:26 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Bloodstar   Wed Jun 01 2022 06:07 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge Kraig   Wed Jun 01 2022 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Agatha and Company MichaelA   Tue May 31 2022 12:40 PM
. * * Re: Agatha and Company IsoFlame   Tue May 31 2022 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Agatha and Company OrlandoDan   Wed Jun 01 2022 04:23 PM

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