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Invest 95L in the Tropical Atlantic now has a 90% chance to develop over the next 7 days, and a 70% chance to do so in the next 48 hours. Recon scheduled for Sunday morning.a
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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4563
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: General Long Range Discussion
      Thu Jun 09 2022 12:13 PM

General long range runs of the GFS have had impacts along the gulf in over a week or so for the past few runs, however, other models have concentrated on the east pacific. The split happens around June 15th, where Euro (and Canadian) moves some energy in the Southwest Caribbean into the east pacific, while the GFS forms and curves it north into the Gulf. Splitting the difference would be the Yucatan Peninsula.

The area to watch the middle of next week is the Southwest Caribbean, beyond that too soon to tell, but most likely it'll move into the Yucatan and not form on the Atlantic side.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator Thu Jun 09 2022 12:13 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Thu May 19 2022 07:42 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Wed May 25 2022 09:47 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Fri May 27 2022 04:48 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat May 28 2022 05:54 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jun 09 2022 12:13 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion Robert   Tue Jun 21 2022 04:54 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat May 14 2022 07:41 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat May 14 2022 01:36 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sun May 15 2022 07:53 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion EMS   Sun May 15 2022 08:20 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Mon May 16 2022 09:33 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion scottsvb   Mon May 16 2022 10:39 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Mon May 16 2022 11:29 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion scottsvb   Mon May 16 2022 12:25 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Discussion scottsvb   Wed May 18 2022 12:14 AM

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