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Kirk becomes farthest east Major for time of year on record. Leslie becomes record 5th name for any 24 Sep - 2 Oct on record in Atlantic basin. Very active period continues.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 6 (Helene) , Major: 6 (Helene) Florida - Any: 6 (Helene) Major: 6 (Helene)
21.1N 46.7W
Wind: 130MPH
Pres: 945mb
Moving:
Nw at 12 mph
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10.1N 31.5W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 1001mb
Moving:
W at 6 mph
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Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
PTC4 Lounge
      Fri Aug 19 2022 10:51 AM



A convectively active tropical wave/broad low pressure system we have been tracking in near and over the Yucatan has become better defined this morning, and a tropical cyclone may be forming. Conditions continue to appear favorable for development and we are now starting a lounge on this system that is already very close to land.

NHC presently has a 40% odds of 99L becoming a numbered tropical cyclone within 48 hours, and this could be conservative.

Edited by CFHC (Fri Aug 19 2022 04:41 PM)

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