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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 279 (Idalia) , Major: 279 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 279 (Idalia) Major: 279 (Idalia)
 


Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Earl Lounge
      Fri Aug 26 2022 10:41 PM



A vigorous and convectively active portion of a broad low pressure with a few embedded smaller-scale vorticity maximas out in the Tropical Atlantic Main Development Region (MDR) has increasing model support, now including both of the primary Globals (GFS and ECMWF) for development, and as such we are starting a Lounge on this feature at this time.

For clarification, as mentioned above and highlighted in the image, this feature actually includes more than one potential center - even more than one potential TD in the making. NHC sort of blends both the two main 'centers' together for tracking, as it does seem likely that one will become dominant, and perhaps also the sole feature.

An Invest number has not yet been issued, but if current trends continue, one could be up as early as this weekend.

More details to come.

The complex area of low pressure we have been tracking has consolidated enough for an Invest tag tonight and is now being tracked as Invest 91L. 8/27/22. Tropical Storm Earl 9/2/22 -Ciel

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Earl Lounge cieldumort Fri Aug 26 2022 10:41 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 03 2022 12:45 AM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Mon Aug 29 2022 02:29 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Disturbance cieldumort   Sat Aug 27 2022 05:50 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Disturbance MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 28 2022 11:15 PM

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