F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 309 (Idalia) , Major: 309 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 309 (Idalia) Major: 309 (Idalia)
19.2N 83.4W
Wind: 110MPH
Pres: 974mb
Moving:
Wnw at 18 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
Invest 96LClick for Invest Information from CIMSS
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 


Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 2343
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 93L Lounge
      Thu Sep 01 2022 02:42 AM

Invest 93L is much better organized than 91L and tonight has just about shed its frontal beginnings. With a tight and well-defined LLC and abundant and increasingly organized convection, odds on that 93L, and not 91L, becomes the next system for NHC to classify. While there is some chance that it is initially called sub-tropical, it does appear to be more tropical than not.

As for track and intensity, 93L does have the mechanics and environment to become a strong tropical storm and possibly a hurricane. Indeed, this is increasingly advertised in the models.

Here are some of the most recent model forecasts:


09010z HWRF Tropical quickly gaining hurricane status by Friday night while drifting north.
09010z HMON Tropical quickly gaining hurricane status by Friday afternoon while meandering almost in place
083112z HAFS Strong tropical storm by Friday night and hurricane by early Saturday. Major by early Sunday all while meandering north.
09010z GFS Strong tropical storm by early Friday and hurricane by midday Saturday. Meandering in the near-term then racing ENE later in the run.

All in all, 93L will likely be named later this morning. The next name on the list is Danielle.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Danielle Lounge cieldumort Thu Sep 01 2022 02:42 AM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 01 2022 02:42 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 12 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 1926

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center