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Tropical Storm Alberto has formed from Potential Tropical Cyclone 01L. Onshore flow creating some surge, wind and heavy rains into TX/MX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 294 (Idalia) , Major: 294 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 294 (Idalia) Major: 294 (Idalia)
22.2N 95.0W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 995mb
Moving:
W at 9 mph
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Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge

MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged:
Posts: 4552
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: 98L Lounge
      Thu Sep 22 2022 11:12 AM

Morning Models

The 6z GFS gets over the Yucatan Peninsula and back over the open Gulf where it moves somewhat slowly and landfalls south of Lake Charles Sunday afternoon on October 2nd. The GFS Seems to be alone that far west. The 0z Canadian GEM (CMC) model takes it over Naples, FL this Coming Tuesday as a category 2 hurricane. The 0z Euro landfalls north of Tampa near Cedar key Thursday morning as a cat 3/4 hurricane. The UKMET and TVCN consensus (NHC is usually close to it) have it in the East Gulf generally toward the Florida panhandle.

Without a definite center to track and it being so close to south America, there's still a great deal of uncertainty right now, but GFS seems to be the outlier at the moment.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ian Lounge cieldumort Thu Sep 22 2022 11:12 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 29 2022 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:36 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 10:24 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 28 2022 10:51 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 01:00 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 02:15 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 02:55 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Owlguin   Wed Sep 28 2022 04:38 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Wed Sep 28 2022 11:22 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Rhino7170   Thu Sep 29 2022 07:16 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Thu Sep 29 2022 12:58 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Rhino7170   Thu Sep 29 2022 07:19 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Thu Sep 29 2022 02:56 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 29 2022 03:40 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Thu Sep 29 2022 03:20 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Thu Sep 29 2022 04:45 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 29 2022 05:20 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Thu Sep 29 2022 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge TanukiMario   Thu Sep 29 2022 05:12 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Thu Sep 29 2022 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 30 2022 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge TanukiMario   Fri Sep 30 2022 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 30 2022 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Sat Oct 01 2022 08:48 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Sun Oct 02 2022 03:19 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 29 2022 08:15 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Rhino7170   Thu Sep 29 2022 07:22 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge KornR   Thu Sep 29 2022 12:45 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Thu Sep 29 2022 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Thu Sep 29 2022 12:30 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 05:22 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:51 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge vineyardsaker   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:39 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 09:06 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 09:06 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kigeliakitten   Wed Sep 28 2022 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Wed Sep 28 2022 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Owlguin   Wed Sep 28 2022 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 28 2022 10:36 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 27 2022 09:09 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 10:33 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 01:00 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 27 2022 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 06:58 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Tue Sep 27 2022 03:35 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 29 2022 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 27 2022 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 27 2022 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 05:12 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 07:05 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge RevUp   Tue Sep 27 2022 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Tue Sep 27 2022 08:52 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 09:19 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 12:36 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Wed Sep 28 2022 02:05 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Wed Sep 28 2022 01:33 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 02:35 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 08:41 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 09:58 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sun Sep 25 2022 12:15 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 10:53 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 12:52 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sun Sep 25 2022 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 12:02 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Sun Sep 25 2022 01:06 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sun Sep 25 2022 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sun Sep 25 2022 11:41 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Mon Sep 26 2022 03:17 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Keith B   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Sep 26 2022 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Mon Sep 26 2022 02:34 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Sep 26 2022 03:29 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:44 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 12:05 AM
. * * Can we get some radar recording Robert   Tue Sep 27 2022 12:10 AM
. * * Re: Can we get some radar recording MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 27 2022 12:32 AM
. * * Re: Can we get some radar recording Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 12:31 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 26 2022 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 09:59 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Sep 26 2022 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Mon Sep 26 2022 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 10:02 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Mon Sep 26 2022 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:08 PM
. * * Storm moving with the shear Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Storm moving with the shear Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:38 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:03 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Lautermilch   Tue Sep 27 2022 12:44 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 01:49 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 09:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Sep 26 2022 09:47 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge OrlandoDan   Mon Sep 26 2022 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Mon Sep 26 2022 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Keith B   Mon Sep 26 2022 02:31 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge pongolo   Mon Sep 26 2022 03:16 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Sat Sep 24 2022 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 05:47 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Keith B   Tue Oct 04 2022 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sat Sep 24 2022 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sat Sep 24 2022 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2022 01:02 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Sat Sep 24 2022 01:59 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sat Sep 24 2022 03:45 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Southern4sure   Sat Sep 24 2022 04:13 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Sat Sep 24 2022 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2022 07:36 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2022 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Marknole   Sat Sep 24 2022 01:52 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge cieldumort   Fri Sep 23 2022 06:38 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge IsoFlame   Fri Sep 23 2022 09:06 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge dolfinatic   Fri Sep 23 2022 08:03 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge MichaelA   Fri Sep 23 2022 09:13 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge MichaelA   Sat Sep 24 2022 12:45 AM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge JMII   Sat Sep 24 2022 01:15 AM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2022 01:41 AM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge OrlandoDan   Fri Sep 23 2022 09:58 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 22 2022 04:24 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2022 05:10 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge craigm   Fri Sep 23 2022 08:28 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge IsoFlame   Fri Sep 23 2022 11:07 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MichaelA   Fri Sep 23 2022 11:47 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 23 2022 01:03 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Fri Sep 23 2022 02:56 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge Wingwiper   Fri Sep 23 2022 12:46 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2022 11:44 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 22 2022 07:11 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 22 2022 11:12 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Sep 22 2022 12:36 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge Kraig   Thu Sep 22 2022 12:59 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge GeorgeN   Thu Sep 22 2022 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) IsoFlame   Tue Sep 20 2022 01:39 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) GeorgeN   Tue Sep 20 2022 06:13 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) IsoFlame   Tue Sep 20 2022 06:58 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) Kraig   Tue Sep 20 2022 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) GeorgeN   Tue Sep 20 2022 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 21 2022 10:47 AM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) MichaelA   Tue Sep 20 2022 12:08 PM

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