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Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: The 2022 Season
      Sat Sep 24 2022 03:04 AM

What a difference a month can make.

With the addition of Ian, 2022 has officially gone from the dustbin of Atlantic hurricane seasons to catching up to an average year's ACE (Accumulated Cyclone Energy) to now in some ways even rhyming with prior hyperactive years, and unfortunately, putting Florida right back on the hurricane map.

Dr. Phil Klotzbach, Meteorologist at CSU specializing in Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane forecasts, notes the following: "The last time that the Atlantic had four named storms (e.g., tropical storms or hurricanes) simultaneously was on September 18, 2020 (Teddy, Wilfred, Alpha, Beta)," also, "(Ian) is forecast to be a major, Category 3, hurricane with max winds of 115 mph approaching southwest Florida in 5 days. The most recent landfalling Florida major hurricane is Michael (Category 5, 2018)." And with Ian forming in the central Caribbean, it has become "the 6th Atlantic named storm to form this month. Since 1950, 8 other years have had 6+ Atlantic named storms form between September 1-23: 1971, 1988, 2002, 2010, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021."

Here are the totals for those years:

1971: 22* Depressions, 13 Storms, 6 Hurricanes, 1 Major. 1971 was a La Niña year during a quiet phase of the Atlantic. The season was most remembered for Cat 5 Edith and Cat 2 Ginger. The last storm that year formed on November 12.

1988: 19* Depressions, 12 Storms, 5 Hurricanes, 3 Majors. 1988 was a strong La Niña year during the quiet phase of the Atlantic. The season was most remembered for Category 5 Hurricane Gilbert, that held the record for fastest deepening of an Atlantic hurricane until that record was broken by Wilma in 2005. The last storm that year formed on November 17.

2002: 14 Depressions, 12 Storms, 4 Hurricanes, 2 Majors. 2002 was a moderate El Niño year during the active phase of the Atlantic. The season was most remembered for Cat 4 Hurricane Lili. The last storm that year formed on October 14.

2010: 21 Depressions, 19 Storms, 12 Hurricanes, 5 Majors. 2010 was a strong La Niña year during the active phase of the Atlantic. The season was perhaps most remembered for having so many Majors stay out to sea. The last storm that year formed on October 29.

2018: 16 Depressions, 15 Storms, 8 Hurricanes, 2 Majors. 2018 was an El Niño year during the active phase of the Atlantic. The season was most remembered for Cat 4 Florence and Cat 5 Michael. The last storm that year formed on October 26.

2019: 20 Depressions, 18 Names, 6 Hurricanes, 3 Majors. 2019 was ENSO neutral during the active phase of the Atlantic. The season was most remembered for Cat 5 Dorian. The last storm that year formed on November 19.

2020: 31 Depressions, 30 Storms, 14 Hurricanes, 7 Majors. 2020 was a La Niña year during the active phase of the Atlantic. The season was most remembered for being the most active season on record in the Atlantic basin. The last storm that year formed on November 13, which became Cat 4 Iota.

2021: 21 Depressions, 21 Storms, 7 Hurricanes, 4 Majors. 2021 was a La Niña year during the active phase of the Atlantic. The season was most remembered for Cat 4 Ida that struck southeastern Louisiana 16 years to the day after Katrina did. The last storm that year formed on October 31.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* The 2022 Season cieldumort Sat Sep 24 2022 03:04 AM
. * * Re: The 2022 Season cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 03:04 AM
. * * Re: The 2022 Season FACEandHRT   Tue Aug 30 2022 09:16 PM
. * * Re: The 2022 Season cieldumort   Fri Jun 24 2022 03:32 AM
. * * Re: The 2022 Season IsoFlame   Wed Jul 27 2022 04:34 PM
. * * Re: The 2022 Season cieldumort   Fri Aug 26 2022 01:17 AM

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