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Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge
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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged:
Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Ian Lounge
      Sat Sep 24 2022 03:36 PM

There are two model camps

GFS/CMC is over toward Destin

Euro/UKMET/Icon is peninsula from Tampa (UK/Euro) to Icon, which is closer to the the big bend.

The TVCN consensus is around Apalachicola, which may be too much because of the high spread in the afternoon models in general

The position of the storm could change based on recon reports,but the 0z run tonight will be the first one with high altitude recon data which should help alleviate the spread. The center may be moving more north today based on the recon plane out their right now, but until past Jamaica its probably going to be in flux.

12z and 0z Euro go out the full distance, 6/18z do not, which would explain the plot only to Cuba.

Basically the entire cone is valid for the storm. Do not take any one model as gospel.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ian Lounge cieldumort Sat Sep 24 2022 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 29 2022 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 28 2022 04:36 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 06:24 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 28 2022 06:51 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 09:00 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 10:15 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 10:55 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Owlguin   Wed Sep 28 2022 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Wed Sep 28 2022 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Rhino7170   Thu Sep 29 2022 03:16 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Rhino7170   Thu Sep 29 2022 03:19 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 10:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Wed Sep 28 2022 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Thu Sep 29 2022 11:20 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Thu Sep 29 2022 12:45 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 29 2022 01:20 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Thu Sep 29 2022 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge TanukiMario   Thu Sep 29 2022 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Thu Sep 29 2022 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 30 2022 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge TanukiMario   Fri Sep 30 2022 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 30 2022 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Sat Oct 01 2022 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Sat Oct 01 2022 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 29 2022 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Rhino7170   Thu Sep 29 2022 03:22 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge KornR   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:45 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge vineyardsaker   Wed Sep 28 2022 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 06:05 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kigeliakitten   Wed Sep 28 2022 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Wed Sep 28 2022 01:03 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Owlguin   Wed Sep 28 2022 01:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 28 2022 06:36 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 27 2022 05:09 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 06:33 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 09:00 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 27 2022 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 02:58 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Tue Sep 27 2022 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 29 2022 04:12 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 27 2022 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 27 2022 12:17 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 03:05 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge RevUp   Tue Sep 27 2022 11:18 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Tue Sep 27 2022 04:52 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 09:33 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sat Sep 24 2022 08:15 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 06:53 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 08:52 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sun Sep 25 2022 07:05 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Sun Sep 25 2022 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sun Sep 25 2022 01:01 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sun Sep 25 2022 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sun Sep 25 2022 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Keith B   Mon Sep 26 2022 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Sep 26 2022 09:54 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Mon Sep 26 2022 10:34 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:05 PM
. * * Can we get some radar recording Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:10 PM
. * * Re: Can we get some radar recording MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Can we get some radar recording Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 26 2022 01:14 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 05:59 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Sep 26 2022 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Mon Sep 26 2022 03:22 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Mon Sep 26 2022 05:49 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 06:02 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Mon Sep 26 2022 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:08 PM
. * * Storm moving with the shear Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:14 PM
. * * Re: Storm moving with the shear Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:15 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Lautermilch   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Sep 26 2022 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Sep 26 2022 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge OrlandoDan   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:26 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Keith B   Sun Sep 25 2022 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge pongolo   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:16 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Sat Sep 24 2022 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 01:47 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Keith B   Tue Oct 04 2022 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sat Sep 24 2022 06:27 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sat Sep 24 2022 06:57 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2022 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Sat Sep 24 2022 09:59 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sat Sep 24 2022 11:45 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Southern4sure   Sat Sep 24 2022 12:13 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Sat Sep 24 2022 02:25 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2022 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2022 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Marknole   Sat Sep 24 2022 09:52 AM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge cieldumort   Fri Sep 23 2022 02:38 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge IsoFlame   Fri Sep 23 2022 05:06 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge dolfinatic   Fri Sep 23 2022 04:03 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge MichaelA   Fri Sep 23 2022 05:13 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge MichaelA   Fri Sep 23 2022 08:45 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 23 2022 09:15 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2022 09:41 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge OrlandoDan   Fri Sep 23 2022 05:58 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 22 2022 12:24 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2022 01:10 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge craigm   Fri Sep 23 2022 04:28 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge IsoFlame   Fri Sep 23 2022 07:07 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MichaelA   Fri Sep 23 2022 07:47 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 23 2022 09:03 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Fri Sep 23 2022 10:56 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge Wingwiper   Fri Sep 23 2022 08:46 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2022 07:44 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 22 2022 03:11 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 22 2022 07:12 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Sep 22 2022 08:36 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge Kraig   Thu Sep 22 2022 08:59 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge GeorgeN   Thu Sep 22 2022 08:25 AM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) IsoFlame   Tue Sep 20 2022 09:39 AM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) GeorgeN   Tue Sep 20 2022 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) IsoFlame   Tue Sep 20 2022 02:58 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) Kraig   Tue Sep 20 2022 03:41 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) GeorgeN   Tue Sep 20 2022 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 21 2022 06:47 AM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) MichaelA   Tue Sep 20 2022 08:08 AM

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