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cieldumort
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Dangerous September Underway
      Sun Sep 25 2022 02:22 AM

Lots in play with track and intensity. Odds still favor Ian becoming a Major. Track is unusually highly uncertain at this time, however.

NHC estimated center at 2AM EDT was Location: 14.7°N 78.3°W. The location of the circle below is closer to 14°N 78.25°W Recon is finding the LLC in the circle pointed to below, and this does not appear to be just some old auxiliary swirl.

Edit: The center appears to be making a jump into a new bursting of convection to the northeast of 14N 78.25W, but not under the apparent mid-level circulation. Those two are still separated, but perhaps now merging.


Edited by cieldumort (Sun Sep 25 2022 02:47 AM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Dangerous September Underway cieldumort Sun Sep 25 2022 02:22 AM
. * * Re: Dangerous September Underway MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Dangerous September Underway MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 06:58 PM
. * * Re: Dangerous September Underway MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 08:50 AM
. * * Re: Dangerous September Underway cieldumort   Sun Sep 25 2022 02:22 AM
. * * Re: Dangerous September Underway MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2022 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Dangerous September Underway typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 23 2022 07:12 PM
. * * Re: Dangerous September Underway MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2022 03:57 PM

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