Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA PTC NINETEEN IN CARIBBEAN
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 34 (Milton) , Major: 34 (Milton) Florida - Any: 34 (Milton) Major: 34 (Milton)
16.1N 79.5W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1005mb
Moving:
W at 6 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 


Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge

Psyber
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 237
Loc: Ontario, Canada
Re: Ian Lounge
      Mon Sep 26 2022 07:56 PM

Quote:

Quote:

It wasn't supposed to be a hurricane before Cuba in a lot of forecasts two days ago, and now we have an intensifying H2 that doesn't even have a visual eyewall.




Please see the attached graphic from 11pm Saturday clearly forecasting a MAJOR prior to Cuba.




It did say, Major, for almost an entire day, and yet it's not, now is it? I suppose it could have time, but all the people pointing at wind shear are demanding it should slow down. It's not and that's my point. It's also not following the CHC and that was my point too. It's not following a whole lot of forecasts and that's my point too.

Look, my point is that people are able to look at a storm one day in advance and then be fifty percent slower than the forecast? RAW data doesn't work. This is including airplane data, buoy data, information from islands and, ships and satellites and here we are with a storm that barely stepped into an H2 that was supposed to be H3 or higher all day. Certainly, wind shear has affected it, but the original person I replied to seemed to be talking like Cuba was going to wreck the storm "like it always does". This isn't an East-to-West Cuba storm, so I was only saying that Cuba isn't really going to affect this one.

We went on a bit of a trip however, I've said my part (including an apology to do with confusing the current wind shear or the one over Florida later in the week. That's it, that's all, please disperse, there is nothing to see here.

--------------------
The safest way to deal with a potential Hurricane hitting you...is to leave and just not be there at all.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ian Lounge cieldumort Mon Sep 26 2022 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 29 2022 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 28 2022 04:36 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 06:24 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 28 2022 06:51 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 09:00 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 10:15 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 10:55 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Owlguin   Wed Sep 28 2022 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Wed Sep 28 2022 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Rhino7170   Thu Sep 29 2022 03:16 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Rhino7170   Thu Sep 29 2022 03:19 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 10:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Wed Sep 28 2022 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Thu Sep 29 2022 11:20 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Thu Sep 29 2022 12:45 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 29 2022 01:20 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Thu Sep 29 2022 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge TanukiMario   Thu Sep 29 2022 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Thu Sep 29 2022 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 30 2022 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge TanukiMario   Fri Sep 30 2022 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 30 2022 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Sat Oct 01 2022 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Sat Oct 01 2022 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 29 2022 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Rhino7170   Thu Sep 29 2022 03:22 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge KornR   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:45 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge vineyardsaker   Wed Sep 28 2022 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 06:05 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kigeliakitten   Wed Sep 28 2022 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Wed Sep 28 2022 01:03 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Owlguin   Wed Sep 28 2022 01:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 28 2022 06:36 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 27 2022 05:09 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 06:33 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 09:00 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 27 2022 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 02:58 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Tue Sep 27 2022 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 29 2022 04:12 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 27 2022 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 27 2022 12:17 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 03:05 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge RevUp   Tue Sep 27 2022 11:18 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Tue Sep 27 2022 04:52 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 09:33 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sat Sep 24 2022 08:15 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 06:53 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 08:52 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sun Sep 25 2022 07:05 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Sun Sep 25 2022 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sun Sep 25 2022 01:01 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sun Sep 25 2022 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sun Sep 25 2022 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Keith B   Mon Sep 26 2022 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Sep 26 2022 09:54 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Mon Sep 26 2022 10:34 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:05 PM
. * * Can we get some radar recording Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:10 PM
. * * Re: Can we get some radar recording MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Can we get some radar recording Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 26 2022 01:14 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 05:59 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Sep 26 2022 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Mon Sep 26 2022 03:22 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Mon Sep 26 2022 05:49 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 06:02 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Mon Sep 26 2022 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:08 PM
. * * Storm moving with the shear Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:14 PM
. * * Re: Storm moving with the shear Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:15 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Lautermilch   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Sep 26 2022 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Sep 26 2022 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge OrlandoDan   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:26 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Keith B   Sun Sep 25 2022 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge pongolo   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:16 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Sat Sep 24 2022 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 01:47 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Keith B   Tue Oct 04 2022 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sat Sep 24 2022 06:27 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sat Sep 24 2022 06:57 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2022 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Sat Sep 24 2022 09:59 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sat Sep 24 2022 11:45 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Southern4sure   Sat Sep 24 2022 12:13 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Sat Sep 24 2022 02:25 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2022 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2022 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Marknole   Sat Sep 24 2022 09:52 AM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge cieldumort   Fri Sep 23 2022 02:38 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge IsoFlame   Fri Sep 23 2022 05:06 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge dolfinatic   Fri Sep 23 2022 04:03 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge MichaelA   Fri Sep 23 2022 05:13 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge MichaelA   Fri Sep 23 2022 08:45 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 23 2022 09:15 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2022 09:41 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge OrlandoDan   Fri Sep 23 2022 05:58 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 22 2022 12:24 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2022 01:10 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge craigm   Fri Sep 23 2022 04:28 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge IsoFlame   Fri Sep 23 2022 07:07 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MichaelA   Fri Sep 23 2022 07:47 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 23 2022 09:03 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Fri Sep 23 2022 10:56 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge Wingwiper   Fri Sep 23 2022 08:46 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2022 07:44 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 22 2022 03:11 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 22 2022 07:12 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Sep 22 2022 08:36 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge Kraig   Thu Sep 22 2022 08:59 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge GeorgeN   Thu Sep 22 2022 08:25 AM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) IsoFlame   Tue Sep 20 2022 09:39 AM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) GeorgeN   Tue Sep 20 2022 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) IsoFlame   Tue Sep 20 2022 02:58 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) Kraig   Tue Sep 20 2022 03:41 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) GeorgeN   Tue Sep 20 2022 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 21 2022 06:47 AM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) MichaelA   Tue Sep 20 2022 08:08 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 75373

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center