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Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 2351
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Ian Lounge
      Wed Sep 28 2022 04:36 AM

Here's a rundown of the 0928 0z runs

Globals:

ECMWF - Landfall just north of Cape Coral around 2PM EDT today, 946mb Major Hurricane. Slowly tracks NNE and just south of Deltona middle of the day Thursday 990mb and dumping a swath of over 20" of rain accumulation to this point between roughly Bradenton to Lakeland. Emerges along the east coast of the state between Titusville and Daytona beach around 8PM EDT Thursday, 988mb, reintensifying. Gradually tracks generally northward just offshore of the east coast and is east of Jacksonville by 10AM EDT Friday, 986mb and continuing to intensify into another landfall southeast of Savannah, GA around 9PM EDT Friday night, 984mb.

UKMET - Landfall roughly between Cape Coral and Port Charlotte about 3PM EDT today, 971mb, and rising. This is an incredibly sensitive area for surge and this rising min pressure in this run only spreads the winds out and increases the surge. Exits the state just east of Titusville about noon Thursday, 992mb, leaving a swath of 12" to 20" cutting sw to ne across the middle of the state. Second landfall NE of Charleston, SC about 5PM EDT Friday, 982mb.

GFS - Landfall west of Port Charlotte 960mb 4PM EDT today. Exits the state just east of Titusville about 4AM EDT Friday, 989mb, by this time leaving a huge swath of 20" to low 30s" from around Bradenton to Daytona Beach. Runs generally northish offshore east coast of Florida, makes another landfall between roughly Savannah, GA and Beaufort, SC about 9PM EDT Friday, 985mb.

ICON - Landfall just west of Cape Coral 953mb around 1PM EDT today. Has a second landfall about 9PM EDT Friday just east of Charleston, SC 966mb, Major.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ian Lounge cieldumort Wed Sep 28 2022 04:36 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 29 2022 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 28 2022 04:36 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 06:24 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 28 2022 06:51 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 09:00 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 10:15 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 10:55 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Owlguin   Wed Sep 28 2022 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Wed Sep 28 2022 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Rhino7170   Thu Sep 29 2022 03:16 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Rhino7170   Thu Sep 29 2022 03:19 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 10:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Wed Sep 28 2022 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Thu Sep 29 2022 11:20 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Thu Sep 29 2022 12:45 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 29 2022 01:20 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Thu Sep 29 2022 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge TanukiMario   Thu Sep 29 2022 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Thu Sep 29 2022 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 30 2022 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge TanukiMario   Fri Sep 30 2022 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 30 2022 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Sat Oct 01 2022 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Sat Oct 01 2022 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 29 2022 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Rhino7170   Thu Sep 29 2022 03:22 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge KornR   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:45 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Wed Sep 28 2022 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge vineyardsaker   Wed Sep 28 2022 04:39 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 28 2022 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 06:05 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Sep 28 2022 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kigeliakitten   Wed Sep 28 2022 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Wed Sep 28 2022 01:03 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Owlguin   Wed Sep 28 2022 01:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 28 2022 06:36 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 27 2022 05:09 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 06:33 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 09:00 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 27 2022 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 02:58 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Tue Sep 27 2022 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Thu Sep 29 2022 04:12 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 27 2022 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 27 2022 12:17 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 03:05 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge RevUp   Tue Sep 27 2022 11:18 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Tue Sep 27 2022 04:52 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 27 2022 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Tue Sep 27 2022 09:33 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 27 2022 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sat Sep 24 2022 08:15 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 06:53 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 08:52 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sun Sep 25 2022 07:05 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Sun Sep 25 2022 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sun Sep 25 2022 01:01 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 25 2022 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sun Sep 25 2022 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sun Sep 25 2022 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Keith B   Mon Sep 26 2022 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Sep 26 2022 09:54 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Mon Sep 26 2022 10:34 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:05 PM
. * * Can we get some radar recording Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:10 PM
. * * Re: Can we get some radar recording MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Can we get some radar recording Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 26 2022 01:14 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 05:59 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Sep 26 2022 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Mon Sep 26 2022 03:22 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Mon Sep 26 2022 05:49 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 06:02 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Mon Sep 26 2022 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:08 PM
. * * Storm moving with the shear Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:14 PM
. * * Re: Storm moving with the shear Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Kraig   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:15 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Lautermilch   Mon Sep 26 2022 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Psyber   Mon Sep 26 2022 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Robert   Mon Sep 26 2022 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Sep 26 2022 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Sep 26 2022 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge OrlandoDan   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:26 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Keith B   Sun Sep 25 2022 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge pongolo   Mon Sep 26 2022 11:16 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Sat Sep 24 2022 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 24 2022 01:47 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Keith B   Tue Oct 04 2022 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sat Sep 24 2022 06:27 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge IsoFlame   Sat Sep 24 2022 06:57 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2022 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge JMII   Sat Sep 24 2022 09:59 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MichaelA   Sat Sep 24 2022 11:45 AM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Southern4sure   Sat Sep 24 2022 12:13 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge GeorgeN   Sat Sep 24 2022 02:25 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2022 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 24 2022 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Ian Lounge Marknole   Sat Sep 24 2022 09:52 AM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge cieldumort   Fri Sep 23 2022 02:38 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge IsoFlame   Fri Sep 23 2022 05:06 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge dolfinatic   Fri Sep 23 2022 04:03 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge MichaelA   Fri Sep 23 2022 05:13 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge MichaelA   Fri Sep 23 2022 08:45 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 23 2022 09:15 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2022 09:41 PM
. * * Re: TD 9 Lounge OrlandoDan   Fri Sep 23 2022 05:58 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 22 2022 12:24 PM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2022 01:10 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge craigm   Fri Sep 23 2022 04:28 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge IsoFlame   Fri Sep 23 2022 07:07 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MichaelA   Fri Sep 23 2022 07:47 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 23 2022 09:03 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Fri Sep 23 2022 10:56 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge Wingwiper   Fri Sep 23 2022 08:46 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 23 2022 07:44 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 22 2022 03:11 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 22 2022 07:12 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Sep 22 2022 08:36 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge Kraig   Thu Sep 22 2022 08:59 AM
. * * Re: 98L Lounge GeorgeN   Thu Sep 22 2022 08:25 AM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) IsoFlame   Tue Sep 20 2022 09:39 AM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) GeorgeN   Tue Sep 20 2022 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) IsoFlame   Tue Sep 20 2022 02:58 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) Kraig   Tue Sep 20 2022 03:41 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) GeorgeN   Tue Sep 20 2022 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 21 2022 06:47 AM
. * * Re: Wave E of Carib (Likely 98L) MichaelA   Tue Sep 20 2022 08:08 AM

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