Nicole is on it's way to becoming tropical. Recon is finding around 992mb now, so it's a bit ahead of schedule on that regard. Consensus shifted north toward Brevard, mostly because of the UKMet which is up toward New Smyrna Beach. Wouldn't be surprised to see hurricane warnings hoisted soon.
6z GFS has landfall as a cat 1 along the Treasure Coast with a quick exit in the gulf just north of Tampa around Spring Hill, then another landfall near St. Marks
0z Euro has a strong TS (991mb, so it's already too weak compared to where Nicole is now) landfalling near the same area, but exiting very briefly in the Gulf from spring hill then back into Cedar Key.
0z Canadian landfalls as a borderline TS/Cat 1 storm near Palm Bay, but never quite gets into the Gulf.
6z Icon makes landfall near Melbourne as a Cat 1 then exits very briefly into the Gulf south of Cedar Key, then landfalls just north of Cedar Key.
6Z hwrf has a cat 2 into Melbourne, and exits quickly into the Gulf south of Cedar key and landfalls again just north of Cedar Key.
6z HMON landfalls near New Smyrna Beach as a borderline cat 1/2 and never gets into the Gulf.
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