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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 275 (Idalia) , Major: 275 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 275 (Idalia) Major: 275 (Idalia)
 


Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge

JMII
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 489
Loc: Margate, Florida
Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge
      Fri Nov 11 2022 06:54 PM

Yes the construction was very much to blame. After Andrew we went into our attic (house built in the 80s in central Broward) and sure enough 60-70% of the hurricane straps were attached to nothing, zip, nada. You could see where the roof nails missed the trusses. So our roof was held down by only its own weight, if the wind had blown over about a Cat 3 I bet it would have failed too. My current house was built in 93, right after Andrew when they actually enforced the codes, we took the eyewall of Wilma (Cat 3 landfall, Cat 2 over land) and lost a fewn roof cap tiles but that was it. Just look at the fancy homes built on pilings (so no surge) that survived Ian... we can build hurricane resistant structures but they are expensive. Water is 100X worse then wind in terms of damage which should surprise nobody given how much water weighs.

My theory is after the Andrew reclassification I believe the NHC started adding 15% to all wind calculations to ensure they never have to admit they under-estimated things. Do I need to adjust my tinfoil hat? Maybe but the data always comes in with winds below what the NHC reports during landfall.

--------------------
South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, put up the panels for:
David 79 - Floyd 87 - Andrew 92 - Georges 98 - Frances 04 - Wilma 05 - Matthew 16 - Irma 17
Lost our St James City rental property to Ian 22


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Nicole Forecast Lounge CFHCAdministrator Fri Nov 11 2022 06:54 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Nov 07 2022 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Nov 07 2022 08:34 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge CFHCAdministrator   Mon Nov 07 2022 04:06 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge JMII   Mon Nov 07 2022 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Mon Nov 07 2022 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge JMII   Mon Nov 07 2022 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Mon Nov 07 2022 08:57 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge Reef Road Rick   Mon Nov 07 2022 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Nov 07 2022 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge JMII   Tue Nov 08 2022 03:12 AM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Tue Nov 08 2022 04:04 AM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Tue Nov 08 2022 06:59 AM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Nov 08 2022 11:49 AM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge JMII   Tue Nov 08 2022 02:18 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge CFHCAdministrator   Tue Nov 08 2022 06:48 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Tue Nov 08 2022 07:21 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge GeorgeN   Tue Nov 08 2022 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Tue Nov 08 2022 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge JMII   Wed Nov 09 2022 01:15 AM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Wed Nov 09 2022 10:36 AM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Wed Nov 09 2022 11:20 AM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge JMII   Wed Nov 09 2022 01:16 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge JMII   Wed Nov 09 2022 03:20 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Nov 09 2022 06:58 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge JMII   Wed Nov 09 2022 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge Kraig   Wed Nov 09 2022 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge JMII   Thu Nov 10 2022 12:30 AM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge GeorgeN   Thu Nov 10 2022 12:23 AM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge JMII   Thu Nov 10 2022 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Thu Nov 10 2022 04:31 AM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge Rhino7170   Thu Nov 10 2022 04:55 AM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Thu Nov 10 2022 06:52 AM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge JMII   Thu Nov 10 2022 01:45 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge GeorgeN   Thu Nov 10 2022 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge JMII   Thu Nov 10 2022 07:01 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Thu Nov 10 2022 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge GeorgeN   Thu Nov 10 2022 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge JMII   Thu Nov 10 2022 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Thu Nov 10 2022 10:47 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge JMII   Fri Nov 11 2022 06:54 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge kapSt.Cloud   Thu Nov 10 2022 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Nov 08 2022 05:38 PM
. * * Re: Large Low Near Greater Antilles MikeCAdministrator   Sun Nov 06 2022 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Large Low Near Greater Antilles kapSt.Cloud   Sun Nov 06 2022 04:50 PM
. * * Re: Large Low Near Greater Antilles OrlandoDan   Mon Nov 07 2022 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Large Low Near Greater Antilles kapSt.Cloud   Tue Nov 08 2022 03:47 AM
. * * Re: Large Low Near Greater Antilles MikeCAdministrator   Fri Nov 04 2022 04:34 AM
. * * Re: Large Low Near Greater Antilles MikeCAdministrator   Fri Nov 04 2022 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Large Low Near Greater Antilles MikeCAdministrator   Fri Nov 04 2022 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Large Low Near Greater Antilles MikeCAdministrator   Sat Nov 05 2022 04:14 AM
. * * Re: Large Low Near Greater Antilles MichaelA   Sat Nov 05 2022 07:12 PM
. * * Re: Large Low Near Greater Antilles TanukiMario   Sun Nov 06 2022 12:27 PM

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