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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 298 (Idalia) , Major: 298 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 298 (Idalia) Major: 298 (Idalia)
 


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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst


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Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: GFS last 2 runs spin up system in NW Caribbean June 20th drifting N/NW
      Tue Jun 06 2023 03:38 PM

Today's GFS runs have consensus on a fairly potent spin up in NW Caribbean around the June 19/20th followed by a slow track varying between NNW into the southern GOMEX in the general direction of LA/MS or NNE across western Cuba into the eastern GOMEX a few hundred miles west of Florida peninsula.

Long way off, but the day to day run consistency (with no outliers) has my undivided attention given the favored June development region and well above normal SST's..

Edited by IsoFlame (Tue Jun 06 2023 03:41 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* GFS last 2 runs spin up system in NW Caribbean June 20th drifting N/NW IsoFlame Tue Jun 06 2023 03:38 PM
. * * Re: GFS last 2 runs spin up system in NW Caribbean June 20th drifting N/NW IsoFlame   Mon Jun 05 2023 09:28 PM
. * * Re: GFS last 2 runs spin up system in NW Caribbean June 20th drifting N/NW IsoFlame   Tue Jun 06 2023 03:38 PM
. * * Re: GFS last 2 runs spin up system in NW Caribbean June 20th drifting N/NW IsoFlame   Wed Jun 07 2023 10:40 AM
. * * Re: GFS last 2 runs spin up system in NW Caribbean June 20th drifting N/NW IsoFlame   Mon Jun 12 2023 09:48 AM
. * * Re: GFS last 2 runs spin up system in NW Caribbean June 20th drifting N/NW Robert   Tue Jun 20 2023 03:17 PM

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