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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 26 (Milton) , Major: 26 (Milton) Florida - Any: 26 (Milton) Major: 26 (Milton)
Rem Patty
ADV#10 11:00 am EDT
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Ene at 17 mph
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TS Rafael
ADV#5A 6:00 pm EDT
15.8N 76.9W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
Nnw at 9 mph
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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: General Long Range Model Discussion
      Sat Jun 10 2023 09:09 AM

The GFS has been consistently wrong in this region, it did this quite a bit last year in this same area as well. GFS has it's uses, but it really does have a persistent problem with the Central American Gyre and Venezuela. Not one of the European ensembles shows anything either. East Pacific is the more likely situation. It'll be interesting to see when the GFS stops showing this. Central America will likely get a lot of rain either way.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator Sat Jun 10 2023 09:09 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion Robert   Tue Jul 25 2023 09:37 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Wed Jul 26 2023 09:54 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Fri Jul 28 2023 08:26 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Fri Jul 28 2023 09:01 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Mon Jul 31 2023 05:56 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion CFHCAdministrator   Thu Aug 10 2023 03:15 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 10 2023 09:09 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Sun Jun 11 2023 09:53 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 11 2023 08:59 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Sun Jun 11 2023 10:11 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 14 2023 10:52 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 14 2023 03:40 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jun 15 2023 09:36 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion CFHCAdministrator   Thu Jun 15 2023 02:23 PM
. * * North West Caribbean Robert   Sun Jun 18 2023 07:56 PM
. * * Re: North West Caribbean MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 16 2023 11:39 AM
. * * Re: North West Caribbean MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 16 2023 01:18 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 17 2023 07:41 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 17 2023 07:15 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 18 2023 06:51 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 18 2023 04:03 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio IsoFlame   Sun Jul 23 2023 03:05 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Fri Jun 09 2023 10:07 PM

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