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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 277 (Idalia) , Major: 277 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 277 (Idalia) Major: 277 (Idalia)
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell
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CFLBob
Registered User


Reged:
Posts: 7
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: 2023 Season Forecasts (Updated)
      Thu Jun 22 2023 11:50 PM

Is there a generally accepted explanation for the SSTs? Both this year and last seem to be on the high side of the distribution you provide.

I believe the AMO is on a downward trend now, or at least not as high as it was at the end of '22. I'm not as familiar with these cycles as I'd like to be. Since we're in a moderate El Nino, I was expecting a less active season.


CFLBob - Melbourne

--------------------
Retired engineer who still has more hobbies and interests than time.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* 2023 Season Forecasts (Updated) cieldumort Thu Jun 22 2023 11:50 PM
. * * Re: 2023 Season Forecasts (Updated) cieldumort   Wed Jun 21 2023 05:14 PM
. * * Re: 2023 Season Forecasts (Updated) CFLBob   Thu Jun 22 2023 11:50 PM
. * * Re: 2023 Season Forecasts (Updated) cieldumort   Mon Jun 26 2023 04:21 AM
. * * Re: 2023 Season Forecasts (Updated) CFLBob   Mon Jun 26 2023 07:44 PM
. * * Re: 2023 Season Forecasts (Updated) CFLBob   Wed Jul 26 2023 05:31 PM
. * * Re: 2023 Season Forecasts (Updated) cieldumort   Mon Jun 19 2023 02:57 AM
. * * Re: 2023 Season Forecasts (Updated) cieldumort   Mon Jun 19 2023 03:13 AM

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