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Invest 95L near 100% chance to develop, advisories likely to come later today. Hurricane and/or Tropical Storm Watches are possible later tonight for parts of the Windward islands of the Caribbean. Area east of that 30% chance. 94L 30% chance.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 303 (Idalia) , Major: 303 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 303 (Idalia) Major: 303 (Idalia)
Td#2
ADV#1 10:00 pm EDT
9.1N 41.9W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4565
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: General Long Range Model Discussio
      Tue Jul 18 2023 06:51 AM

Overnight model runs have backed off on this wave somewhat. 0z GFS kept it weak and turned it out to sea, while the 6z flipped all the way to a system going through the Caribbean and entering the Gulf west of Cuba, but weak.

0z Euro keeps it very weak through the Caribbean into Central America. Canadian shows much the same.

both euro and GFS ensembles have less members showing development than before. Still early, but this morning it seems less likely anything will develop from it.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator Tue Jul 18 2023 06:51 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion Robert   Tue Jul 25 2023 09:37 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Wed Jul 26 2023 09:54 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Fri Jul 28 2023 08:26 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Fri Jul 28 2023 09:01 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Mon Jul 31 2023 05:56 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion CFHCAdministrator   Thu Aug 10 2023 03:15 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 10 2023 09:09 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Sun Jun 11 2023 09:53 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 11 2023 08:59 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Sun Jun 11 2023 10:11 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 14 2023 10:52 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 14 2023 03:40 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jun 15 2023 09:36 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion CFHCAdministrator   Thu Jun 15 2023 02:23 PM
. * * North West Caribbean Robert   Sun Jun 18 2023 07:56 PM
. * * Re: North West Caribbean MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 16 2023 11:39 AM
. * * Re: North West Caribbean MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 16 2023 01:18 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 17 2023 07:41 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 17 2023 07:15 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 18 2023 06:51 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 18 2023 04:03 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio IsoFlame   Sun Jul 23 2023 03:05 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Fri Jun 09 2023 10:07 PM

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