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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 303
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: General Long Range Model Discussio
      Sun Jul 23 2023 03:05 PM

Way, way off.... but any thoughts on the next area coming off Africa next week, plodding across the tropical Atlantic- last several GFS runs have it tracking NW in our general direction, re-curving in the western Atlantic while strengthening into a hurricane, possibly brushing the Carolinas in early August.

My gut feeling was and still is for a significant (possibly major) hurricane in the western Atlantic in early to mid-August, with track and landfall potential dependent on the strength (or lack there of) of the western extension of the Atlantic ridge.

--------------------
CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator Sun Jul 23 2023 03:05 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion Robert   Tue Jul 25 2023 09:37 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Wed Jul 26 2023 09:54 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Fri Jul 28 2023 08:26 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Fri Jul 28 2023 09:01 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Mon Jul 31 2023 05:56 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion CFHCAdministrator   Thu Aug 10 2023 03:15 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 10 2023 09:09 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Sun Jun 11 2023 09:53 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 11 2023 08:59 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Sun Jun 11 2023 10:11 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 14 2023 10:52 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 14 2023 03:40 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jun 15 2023 09:36 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion CFHCAdministrator   Thu Jun 15 2023 02:23 PM
. * * North West Caribbean Robert   Sun Jun 18 2023 07:56 PM
. * * Re: North West Caribbean MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 16 2023 11:39 AM
. * * Re: North West Caribbean MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 16 2023 01:18 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 17 2023 07:41 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 17 2023 07:15 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 18 2023 06:51 AM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 18 2023 04:03 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussio IsoFlame   Sun Jul 23 2023 03:05 PM
. * * Re: General Long Range Model Discussion IsoFlame   Fri Jun 09 2023 10:07 PM

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