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Invest 95L in the Tropical Atlantic now has a 90% chance to develop over the next 7 days, and a 70% chance to do so in the next 48 hours. Recon scheduled for Sunday morning.a
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 302 (Idalia) , Major: 302 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 302 (Idalia) Major: 302 (Idalia)
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Archives 2020s >> 2023 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 90L Lounge
      Sun Aug 20 2023 02:43 AM




90L is on the cusp tonight and appears likely to begin tracking poleward as a strengthening tropical cyclone.

Some 20/0z model runs:

20/0z GFS turns 90L north as a strengthening TC, taking it across the Dominican Republic as a 992mb 50KT tropical storm. After crossing the island the GFS has the cyclone undergo further intensification, becoming a strong Cat 1/2 hurricane traveling north-northwest towards Bermuda and then crossing the island nation from the southeast overnight Saturday Aug 26th as a Cat 2 hurricane

20/0z HWRF Threads the needle in between between the passage of the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico overnight Tuesday Aug 22nd as a strong Cat 1, then proceeds north-northeast bringing the cyclone to Major Hurricane by 25/0z, winding down as it tracks north-northeast away from land.

20/0z HMON Drives 90L into the DR overnight on the 22nd as a 995mb 50KT tropical storm. Once having crossed that island, HMON never really revs it up much, opting instead to keep it a sloppy tropical storm/eventual hybrid, tracking north-northeast away from land.

20/0z HAFSA Strengthens 90L into a strong storm or perhaps Cat 1 while south of DR/PR on Monday the 21st, then takes the cyclone over the DR on Tuesday 22nd. End of run near 26.5N 64.5W while tracking north-northeast at Cat 1 and back up to Cat 1 after having weakened over DR.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Franklin Lounge cieldumort Sun Aug 20 2023 02:43 AM
. * * Re: Franklin Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Aug 23 2023 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Franklin Lounge IsoFlame   Fri Aug 25 2023 01:27 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 20 2023 02:43 AM

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