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#Beryl on track to become a Major while crossing or near the Windwards. Low behind it now Invest #96L with 70% odds. #94L in Bay of Campeche as well. What month is this?
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 304 (Idalia) , Major: 304 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia) Major: 304 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#6A 7:00 am EDT
10.5N 52.2W
Wind: 90MPH
Pres: 983mb
Moving:
W at 20 mph
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IsoFlame
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 303
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: 93L
      Sat Aug 26 2023 03:01 PM

The deep convective burst this morning into mid-day near the western tip of Cuba has my attention.
Question for those with experience in tropical meteorology: How do these convective bursts (if sustained for a decent period of time, say for 3-6 hours) interact with the LLC, in fledgling systems- and consequently initialization of the center of a developing tropical cyclone?

--------------------
CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Idalia and Franklin cieldumort Sat Aug 26 2023 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Idalia and Franklin MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 28 2023 12:15 AM
. * * Re: Idalia and Franklin cieldumort   Sun Aug 27 2023 06:47 PM
. * * Re: Idalia-to-be and Franklin Prospero   Sun Aug 27 2023 04:50 PM
. * * Re: Idalia-to-be and Franklin OrlandoDan   Sun Aug 27 2023 03:50 PM
. * * Re: Idalia-to-be and Franklin cieldumort   Sun Aug 27 2023 07:29 AM
. * * Re: Idalia-to-be and Franklin MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 26 2023 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Idalia-to-be and Franklin cieldumort   Sat Aug 26 2023 05:08 PM
. * * Re: 93L and Franklin IsoFlame   Sat Aug 26 2023 03:12 PM
. * * Re: 93L IsoFlame   Sat Aug 26 2023 03:01 PM
. * * Re: 93L and Franklin cieldumort   Sat Aug 26 2023 09:25 AM
. * * Re: 93L and Franklin MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 26 2023 05:53 AM

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