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Rafael continues to decouple over the Gulf. Meanwhile we are keeping a watch on Invest 98L around the Bahamas and potentially a new low forming in the Caribbean.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 31 (Milton) , Major: 31 (Milton) Florida - Any: 31 (Milton) Major: 31 (Milton)
TS Rafael
ADV#29 9:00 am EDT
26.3N 91.9W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1003mb
Moving:
Nnw at 3 mph
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Archives 2020s >> 2023 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 2490
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Idalia Lounge
      Sun Aug 27 2023 06:01 PM



As the sun begins going down over Franklin, from a wide view, it becomes easy to appreciate how much larger Idalia is becoming.

The tropical cyclone inner vortex was always small, but wrapped up a bit inside a larger monsoonal depression that crossed over Central America. It now appears that the southward realignment as the result of northwesterly shear working with what was probably otherwise a routine attempt at a loop, has re-coupled the T.C's tight vortex more with its parent monsoonal low. This could have significant implications for the size of Idalia's wind field, amount and duration of heavy precipitation (with attendant flooding), as well as its future track.

It will be informative to see if 0z runs initiate or quickly catch up to the more bloated cyclone.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Idalia Lounge cieldumort Sun Aug 27 2023 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge cieldumort   Tue Aug 29 2023 03:17 AM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge JMII   Tue Aug 29 2023 10:08 AM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Aug 29 2023 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge cieldumort   Mon Aug 28 2023 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge Rick31416   Tue Aug 29 2023 12:13 AM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge cieldumort   Mon Aug 28 2023 03:26 AM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge bob3d   Mon Aug 28 2023 06:24 AM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 27 2023 11:41 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 27 2023 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Aug 28 2023 01:52 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Aug 28 2023 02:22 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge Prospero   Mon Aug 28 2023 02:30 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Aug 28 2023 03:11 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 27 2023 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge MichaelA   Sun Aug 27 2023 06:38 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge Prospero   Sun Aug 27 2023 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 27 2023 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge OrlandoDan   Tue Aug 29 2023 08:51 AM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge cieldumort   Tue Aug 29 2023 10:55 AM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge JMII   Tue Aug 29 2023 01:53 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge HurricaneSteph   Tue Aug 29 2023 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge cieldumort   Tue Aug 29 2023 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge Rick31416   Tue Aug 29 2023 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Aug 29 2023 07:30 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge JMII   Wed Aug 30 2023 08:39 AM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge Kraig   Wed Aug 30 2023 12:12 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Aug 30 2023 02:47 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge Sam568   Wed Aug 30 2023 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge JMII   Thu Aug 31 2023 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge Psyber   Tue Aug 29 2023 03:33 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge vineyardsaker   Tue Aug 29 2023 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Idalia Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Aug 29 2023 11:03 AM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge cieldumort   Sat Aug 26 2023 02:32 PM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge OrlandoDan   Sat Aug 26 2023 03:58 PM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge *DELETED* *DELETED* vineyardsaker   Sat Aug 26 2023 06:52 PM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 26 2023 07:40 PM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 27 2023 01:20 PM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge OrlandoDan   Sun Aug 27 2023 01:28 PM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 27 2023 02:11 PM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 27 2023 01:42 PM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge OrlandoDan   Sun Aug 27 2023 03:46 PM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge cieldumort   Sat Aug 26 2023 09:54 AM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2023 05:53 PM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2023 09:36 PM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 26 2023 07:46 AM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge cieldumort   Fri Aug 25 2023 01:41 PM
. * * Re: 93L Lounge OrlandoDan   Fri Aug 25 2023 03:36 PM
. * * WCarib Disturbance cieldumort   Thu Aug 24 2023 09:19 PM
. * * Re: Gulf/WCarib Later this Week cieldumort   Wed Aug 23 2023 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Gulf/WCarib Later this Week bob3d   Thu Aug 24 2023 12:39 PM
. * * Re: Gulf/WCarib Later this Week cieldumort   Thu Aug 24 2023 03:06 PM

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