F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 299 (Idalia) , Major: 299 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 299 (Idalia) Major: 299 (Idalia)
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Archives 2020s >> 2023 Forecast Lounge
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

cieldumort
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 2321
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Lee Lounge
      Tue Sep 05 2023 05:16 PM



Lee's structure is incredibly solid for a newly named tropical storm, and there are reasons to suspect that maximum sustained winds may already be higher than the 5PM NHC advisory.

This morning, Lee (then TD 13) was analyzed to be located near 12.5N 40.2W, with the forecast position 12 hours from then at 12.8N 42.1W, or far more west than north.

As of the 5PM Advisory, Lee is now analyzed to be located at 13.2N 41.8W, the center having tracked 0.7N and 1.6W over the course of six hours, compared to the 0.3N 1.9W anticipated over twelve hours. This is a bit faster and more poleward than NHC first forecast, or reflects a center readjustment/hop.

While it is possible that Lee adjusts southerly back to the Adv 1 forecast, that is unlikely. Nonetheless, as per the 5PM NHC Discussion, " a mid-level ridge over the central Atlantic likely to persist to the north of the storm. This ridge should provide a steady steering current, with a general west-northwestward course expected through the weekend with some reduction in forward speed."

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Lee Lounge IsoFlame Tue Sep 05 2023 05:16 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 09 2023 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic cieldumort   Sat Sep 09 2023 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 10 2023 02:11 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 12 2023 07:41 AM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 12 2023 10:54 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic JMII   Fri Sep 15 2023 08:10 AM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic cieldumort   Fri Sep 15 2023 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 13 2023 12:16 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 07 2023 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Sep 07 2023 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge Rick31416   Thu Sep 07 2023 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge JMII   Thu Sep 07 2023 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 09 2023 06:46 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2023 09:35 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 06 2023 06:38 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 06 2023 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 07 2023 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge flanewscameraman   Thu Sep 07 2023 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2023 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2023 05:16 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2023 10:39 AM
. * * TD13 Robert   Tue Sep 05 2023 02:15 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? cieldumort   Mon Sep 04 2023 02:38 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? IsoFlame   Mon Sep 04 2023 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? cieldumort   Mon Sep 04 2023 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? IsoFlame   Tue Sep 05 2023 02:25 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 9 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 9957

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center