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Archives 2020s >> 2023 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2306
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Lee Lounge
      Wed Sep 06 2023 01:35 AM

For funzies, here is my initial lifetime maximum sustained wind intensity best guess for Lee.

40 KTS (current advisory) 0%
45-50 KTS 0%
60 KTS 0%
65 KTS 2%
70-80 KTS 3%
85-95 KTS 3%
100-110 KTS 8%
115-125 KTS 12%
130-135 KTS 22%
140-150 KTS 28%
155-170 KTS 17%
>170 KTS 5%

Or looked at another way, I give a statistical -0- percent chance that Lee does not become a hurricane of any category, a 92% chance that Lee Majors, and for the Six Million Dollar question, how high up the scale does this go: 72% odds that Lee becomes a Cat 4 or 5, and a 50% chance that Lee becomes a Cat 5.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Lee Lounge IsoFlame Wed Sep 06 2023 01:35 AM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 09 2023 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic cieldumort   Sat Sep 09 2023 08:29 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 10 2023 06:11 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 12 2023 11:41 AM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 13 2023 02:54 AM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic JMII   Fri Sep 15 2023 12:10 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic cieldumort   Fri Sep 15 2023 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 13 2023 04:16 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 07 2023 11:32 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge IsoFlame   Fri Sep 08 2023 01:57 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge Rick31416   Fri Sep 08 2023 03:13 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 08 2023 03:28 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 09 2023 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 06 2023 01:35 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 06 2023 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 06 2023 03:02 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 07 2023 12:02 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge flanewscameraman   Thu Sep 07 2023 10:03 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 06 2023 01:02 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2023 09:16 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2023 02:39 PM
. * * TD13 Robert   Tue Sep 05 2023 06:15 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? cieldumort   Mon Sep 04 2023 06:38 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? IsoFlame   Mon Sep 04 2023 08:41 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? cieldumort   Mon Sep 04 2023 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? IsoFlame   Tue Sep 05 2023 06:25 PM

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