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The 2024 season is officially over after a brutal number of landfals, a stunning rampup in the back-half and a record-early Cat 5.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 56 (Milton) , Major: 56 (Milton) Florida - Any: 56 (Milton) Major: 56 (Milton)
 


Archives 2020s >> 2023 Forecast Lounge

MikeCAdministrator
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Re: Lee Lounge
      Wed Sep 06 2023 06:38 AM

Models overnight keep Lee away from land areas, close enough for very rough surf, but no direct impacts in the Caribbean islands. Bermuda, Canadian Maratimes, Outer Banks, and the Northeast US may have to watch out in the longer run based on the trends, but most likely it'll will stay east of land. That track east would still bring rip currents and very rough surf to much of the east coast.

Lee is worth monitoring for changes because of how strong it may become, however, but right now things are looking pretty good for minimal direct impacts to land.

Most models overnight shifted to the right, east, including the UKMet. 0z Euro keeps it interesting with a potential threat to the Northeast as a ridge starts to build in north of the storm toward the end of the run. Maine/Canada may get the remnants of Lee on the GFS (6z landfall near Maces Bay in New Brunswick after clipping the western edge of Nova Scotia). Bermuda needs to watch too based on CMC/UKMet (Canadian puts Bermuda in the dirty side of Lee at Cat 3). Too soon to tell really beyond 5 days. The turning point north, which is just beyond the NHC's forecast (roughly 7 days from now) will be likely one of the more interesting points to watch as the situation north of there at the time may indicate how far east or west Lee ultimately goes.








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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Lee Lounge IsoFlame Wed Sep 06 2023 06:38 AM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 09 2023 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic cieldumort   Sat Sep 09 2023 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 10 2023 02:11 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 12 2023 07:41 AM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 12 2023 10:54 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic JMII   Fri Sep 15 2023 08:10 AM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic cieldumort   Fri Sep 15 2023 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 13 2023 12:16 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Thu Sep 07 2023 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Sep 07 2023 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge Rick31416   Thu Sep 07 2023 11:13 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge JMII   Thu Sep 07 2023 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 09 2023 06:46 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2023 09:35 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 06 2023 06:38 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge JMII   Wed Sep 06 2023 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 07 2023 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge flanewscameraman   Thu Sep 07 2023 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2023 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Lee Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2023 05:16 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2023 10:39 AM
. * * TD13 Robert   Tue Sep 05 2023 02:15 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? cieldumort   Mon Sep 04 2023 02:38 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? IsoFlame   Mon Sep 04 2023 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? cieldumort   Mon Sep 04 2023 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September? IsoFlame   Tue Sep 05 2023 02:25 PM

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